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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Yea, even if it hit, its going to be a "load blown SW" event....another theme of this god foresaken winter. We probably don't even need to worry about it, though.
  2. I feel like the trough position is ideally a little further west....so I can certainly see it going out to sea...TBH, at this point, I would be shocked it provided significant impact to the region. Disagree.
  3. Second to the futility season of 1979-1980, this has a shot to be my worst neg NAO season on record.
  4. Well, gotta hope for Steve's Feb 1994, but I doubt that, too.
  5. Yea....Feb will do it- That'll show 'em...
  6. Well, Jan 2011 is onto February.
  7. We kind of need the Rockies ridge to be over the Rockies, and not MN.
  8. First Call for Tuesday and an update for the still unlikely Thursday event. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/01/potentially-more-ominous-mid-winter.html
  9. I'm from Wilmington, so that area....I would mind further west, but I need to commute to Chelsea.
  10. Probably like Wilmington, Andover, Tewksbury......
  11. I am likely moving this year....non weather related, but welcomed from a weather POV.
  12. No point being this far north unless you are near MHT.....very seldom does latitude south of MHT down to like I 495 matter in big events.
  13. Probably about an 80" chance that is how it works out. Man, I can't wait to shed this 12 or so miles of useless latitude....it never does any good. And when it does, its during a useless, meager event.
  14. Looks just like PD 1. Hopefully ensembles are diff.
  15. I understand why others feel differently, but I would rather grind that event to a pulp....just eviscerate it, and the faster the better. I don't even care about the snow..cover up Ginxy's dog terds with a couple of inches first, but get rid of it, thereafter.
  16. Honestly, I'll take a soaker, at this point....anything but this- Kevin's delusions of Sou 'Easters have never looked so appealing....if you don't look at the screen name next to the post, you lure your interest into being piqued.
  17. Not even just that....1999-2000 was +NAO/AO...but it was one my three primary ENSO analogs (1970, 2000, 2007). Sometimes you just pick up on a theme in analog seasons and run with it. Regardless of the polar fields, the these mixed-type mod ENSO seasons have a propensity to deal mid atlantic specials during Jan or Feb.
  18. Pats miss PS, Deshaun Watson to either Jets or Dolphins, and 5 weeks and counting w no snow during heart of boreal winter. #REGRESSION
  19. It's the Jan 2000 I was waiting for.
  20. I agree....but 3rd and long here...better than onside kicks rest of season.
  21. Your posts are actually getting much better on average.
  22. I am so sick of the blocking...its been nothing but a death sentence for this winter. I get the risk of cutters, but there is no way in hell you can tell me that we wouldn't have had more snow without it. This is like a toned down 2010 with less snow.
  23. 06z EPS looked a hair worse to me.
  24. Here is yesterday's JMA, just as an illustration of the hail Mary.....ideally this phase happens 12-18 hours sooner.
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