40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Sarcasm...whooosh. The problem with measuring snow depth at any given time and passing it off as snowfall is that you are allowing other aspects of nature to "manipulate" the snowfall. If Wilmington gets 6" Tuesday, then it flips to rain, while Powderfreak and Phin play naked twister in the snow. Are you calling it a whiff when you slumber out of bed at noon on Tuesday to measure and mow the lawn??
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How the hell do you manipulate snowfall by measuring it every six hours?? Lets stop reporting hourly obs at airports, we don't want to manipulate the thermometer...just give the temp once per day.
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Thank you.
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Sure, you can observe the science and meteorology of snow depth, I'm interested in observing snowfall.
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It does not if you want the snowfall total....if you want snow depth, it does. Simple as that. Why do you think road crews want to know how much will fall?? They don't have the luxury of waiting a day for the shit to settle before they plow it.
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Don't get me started lol Agree.
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95% of it is down in 24 hours.
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I think it start to occlude when passing us on the EPS....so I don't think its like a Boxinx Day deal....
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Relying on a lobe of vorticity to protract things is even touch and go at close leads....we see that fall apart often at 24 hrs, NVM 6 days. I just don't want to rely on that to deliver big amounts is all I am saying. Looks good for a decent storm, though, regardless.
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I don't envision that happening here...if you want to use a 1/100 yr event as an example, then tip of the cap...I concede. Even the other two....vast majority was in day 1, day two was like several inches over 12+ hrs.
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Its still intensifying through hr 162 on EPS, so isn't that bad.
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Yea, that is what I said about fearing a lock in to another BLSW deal...I am so sick of it....I would give it until the end of the work week, then we are likely stuck with it.
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Raise your hand if you anticipate 36 hours of proficiently accumulating snowfall....sure, the protracted sensible appeal is nice, but I don't think it add much.
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EPS is dead nuts on 00z....hair stronger.
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It can move 4 or 40 mph, all I care about is closing off under LI....the extra 12 hours of shredded RAD don't really matter to me.
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The run ended up nice, but not crazy about how it got there. Hopefully the 00z trends more towards a pure Miller B, as opposed to that goofy hybrid.
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Pretty similar to 00z up here...just slightly further NW.
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That either won't happen (most likely), or will be further up the coast.
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N and western edge of that would be smoked with banding.
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My guess is N stream influx.
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EPS been pretty consistent.
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Sweet. I was honestly asking...you are way ahead.
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As an occluded ghost?
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PD 1?
