40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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How? WTF happened, the Hadley Cell eat it? -
Where the hell is that useless arctic load that everyone was raving about as an antecedent airmass? Back to the same Groundhog day, thermal crap, scenario that we had in Dec and Jan. All we heard about was how "no issues w baroclinicty or gradients now"....lo and behold....
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Now,. if the model is too warm....different issue. But it will most accurately convey what the data is trying to disseminate in relation to snowfall output IMO. If the model is wrong because it is too warm, then the output will be wrong.
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TBH, I only noticed those freezing layers recently....the snowfall maps are the best, IMO, for resolving thermal snowfall gradients. Like Steve and Kevin will tell you, it isn't perfect...but it isn't prone to those idotic glitches that add up snow at least excuse imaginable. It was also miss mid level deformation because...well, the model does.
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I agree....we may be starting to get locked into that, though, by this point....its been consistent. What causes that?
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I'd rather tighten it and risk a favorable track.
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Its been the most accurate to my recollection. Is the model too warm? Possible...
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Oh, I know....
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For some, I guess....
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Negative. The model is hopefully a bit warm in the low levels, though.
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I didn't realize low levels went to crap....now it makes sense.
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H7 over the cape...looks perfect.
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H5 looks like it goes along the s coast to me....I have no issue with it.
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Innovative trolling attempt with the deck stacked like this lol
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Hopefully we can get it closer to LI, beforehand, as opposed to the Delmarva.
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Yea, looks strong.
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Man, good to see that consistency...Euro is locking in, synoptically speaking.
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Yea, that I am not sure of....probably not many, so it would sense to just distinguish by whether there was a prominent s stream player.
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Seems to be more energy hanging back near CC this wknd..not sure I like that.
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Yea, fair enough. Like I said, I wasn't sure whether we were referencing storms that were literally ALL n Stream, or just mainly. No debate it was 90%+ N stream....
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I missed the Megalopolis storm of '83...that makes 6. 1,3 6, 8, 11 and 15. I don't see this pulling a Jan 2016....maybe Dec 2009.
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Jesus...a third of those are orgasmic for my area. Counting PD II as such, even though I got meso-porked.
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Well, okay...I'm not saying it was a major contributor...all I am saying is that technically speaking, the notion that the blizzard of 1978 was 100% born of the N stream is a misperception. I am not sure what the specific criteria is for distinguishing between those two types of miller Bs.
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Has March 2001....
