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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think that we will have the usual subby area away from the low level convergence associated w coastal front....the easterly flow should nix that. I think the subby will be brutal just west of where ever that ends...probably just west of ORH, since immunity to porkings are built into their climo....plus terrain should augment precip on easterly fetch. I feel like Steve to ORH best....Kev will be okay, but once you get west of him and lower in elevation...oof.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    There was one EPS run on Wednesday, I think, that was that intense....otherwise, that is the best.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, you look good
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think you get as low QPF as some guidance suggests...I understand how banding works. It's the CTRV I am concerned about.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I may need to take a few wknd shifts to keep renting all that space in his grape, hey at least I have a bit of elevation
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Most of us, anyway.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    GFS, GEM, EURO and UK all look to place deformation in same general spot.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    You know that won't verify.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I count 28 of 50 members that hit me at least 10" of snowfall. Not bad for an ensemble mean-
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, its consistently favored regions that Kev doesn't, which bolsters forecast confidence.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    With the size of this thing, I don't want it any further west....I'm near ground zero now.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Pray for the east camp.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    ORH points NE looks good...at least.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think it is more prominent in Mass....Will would know. Good point-
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I usually don't take ensemble mean totals verbatim...it gives you a general idea of magnitude, and placement.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    We got instructions from the IRS (after being on hold over 2 hrs)....downloaded and mailed into IRS form 104039 for identify theft, made report with Chelsea PD, and reported to credit bureau via FTC.gov.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    The one on the left is today's 12z EPS mean snowfall....right is yesterday's 12z.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is true, but I'm not sure how much it will aid the downsloping, which will happen.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Best EPS yet...even beats 12z yesterday.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly. This is why I have hated the CTRV all along..Springfield had like 2" in 12/92.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its ugly. Thankfully, this elderly vet is within our domiciliaries, and not on the street...or else he would not have the slightest clue, or means to advocate for himself. Main reason I love my job....spent like 5 hours lining everything up for him while weening out yesterday and today.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hopefully I can get some paste for a time.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I felt pretty confident on the subby yesterday, but just didn't deem it necessary. Nothing has changed IMO.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I agree with you....this easterly flow is not the type of set up to see big discrepancies due to low level fronto....I don't expect big subby or enhancement due to CF here. Dec 17 was that yype of system...this isn't IMO.
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