40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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2010. -
I do think it's a good sign that the NAM didn't trend west....its an ensemble member.
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ICON looks great...ticker-tape parade for of misfit toys- I still think this will tick back east before go-time.....much of eastern Mass can probably approach a foot.
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EPS like the OP, a hair warmer/west than 00z.
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I have always throught that.
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12z GFS drops about 3' in S PA. Writing is on the wall here....mediocrity.
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This is why you almost never want to see PA and MD get crushed....just immediately begin to think about how that porks you here....because it usually will 8/10 times.
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This run is a bit too warm at the surface during heavy precip, judging by H925, so I'm not saying to toss it, but handle with care. Check H925 tems:
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Here is the trend to shift heavy snows west with that ULL, which is opposite of what you want if you are still seeking to nix the "No HECS in back half of mod nina" rule Hopefully too late in game to entirely ruin this event.
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Don't be surprised if this tics back se a tad like Sunday night...
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I think there may be an area of subby between the fire hose induced low level front in eastern NE, and the mid level deformation back over the Berkshires-NYS-VT.
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Well, we can all agree that the ULL closing off over Nashville isn't ideal.
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The EURO usually is a bit fast to do that, but it has been the seasonal tenor.
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No, its not good....there is no uncertainty about it. Question is does it trend far enough to completely pork us. This season is always LBSW. Hate it.
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Give this type of event over a subby hold ridden, CJ plagued mess like 12/17, any time, any day. I know it sucks south of Boston, it time to regress, I guess. It heartens the soul, but regress-eh, digress.....lol
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I like 00z a bit better....its a shade west....touch warmer w less precip here. Noise.
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Very similar to 00z.
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You have no idea what I would pay, and the havoc I'd wreak. You think people are on edge now due to covid? Let mother nature allow me to take the wheel....Feb 2015 from Novie through March, every season.
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I agree with you, but it still technically a mod la nina....its incumbent upon the seasonal forecaster to correctly account for said changes.
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I'd sell the GEM, as usual. But if that did happen, yea....see you for cane season.
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Only game I play is MLB THE SHOW....love drafting my own team.
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Literally, dude....after I weenied out and the wife and kid went down, I had a Playstation orgie til like 4.
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First of all, no one is ever a douche for calling me on something that ends up incorrect....especially if it results in more snow lol Secondly,I never said it was impossible...just pretty rare, but if its ever going to happen, it would be with an extreme NAO block on the level of 2010. Lets just let it play out, though...
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Just take it all off, dude.....no one judges here.
