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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Yup..... April 1997 and March 2018...two of my larges events. Dec 1992, also....though early season.
  2. GFS is not far off from blowing this up into a bigger deal...I don't think it will happen in time, but it blows up upon exit.
  3. I think the cut off will be north of the MA/NH border bc there is some mid level deformation to the north...especially later in the game.
  4. I get it...wasn't accusatory, either. Just reiterating/clarifying.
  5. I just want an inch or so....Just get me to 50" and Boston to 40"...all I care about.
  6. I'm not playing any mind games.....I think a few inches of snow is a plausible scenario given the pantheon of guidance at this time. That said, its tenuous and could certainly fail. I am the last person to ever bank on the anafront dynamic....
  7. I wouldn't be shocked...tough to ever trust these set ups, but you have to hedge against modeling pretty strongly to forecast nothing at this point.
  8. This is what I have been saying.....trying to tell high512, or whatever not to worry.
  9. Its only a first, not final. I think our area could have a a bit of a weenie band...we'll see.
  10. That is actually a pretty reasonable assessment...the N Stream does help to intensify the low as it departs.
  11. Completely agree. Don't get fooled by the N cut off....highest amounts may actually be north of town.
  12. First Call. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/03/snowy-friday-morning-commute-possible.html Final will be Friday.
  13. Euro really parks good banding from my area into NH
  14. Having the NAM largely agree does give pause before summarily dismissing.
  15. Yea, I am in wait and see....if Euro confirms, then get more aggressive....but I do not trust the GFS, as it maybe too N stream happy. What that does confirm is that if the N steam does get more involved, its def a warning a event....that map is derived from GFS thermals with a very thermally grouchy algorithm.
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