40/70 Benchmark

Jerry, the Virga is undergoing bombogenesis and RI in the cloud tops. That should moisten the whole column explosively and may lead to thunder.

Imagine if had snowed about 20 minutes sooner...the dawn could have awakened to 3 feet!!!

Just at work.

Maybe some terrain enhancement...

It's easy to poo poo everything when the mood suites you right in the moment, but I may not cut back as much as many think....just pound home the duration aspect.

NAM did the same thing. Euro was hinting at that CF yesterday.

Well....you aren't being AWATT....lol

Funny...I wanted to wait to post until I saw the 12z EURO yesterday, but I forgot and posted. Then of course, it cuts waaaaaaay back an hour later lol I would have gone 4-8" like you, if I had waited. Head fakes on past two events.

Yea, referenced that yesterday in the First Call....obviously going to have to scale back, though.

NAM with a 6" snowfall weenie bullseye over Will and me.

Damn, I still have like 7-8" of crust.

Wife had her out on the sled while I was shoveling out from the December 17th screw job...she loved it. Son maybe still too young next winter, but def. 2022-2023 season.

18z NAM is worse everywhere except NE MA, oddly enough....slightly better there. Maybe some INV troughage.....

Nice. I have already tried to get my daughter into it haha. Posted a few vids to FB.

Nice to have snow in the air over the weekend.

Strung out over days and days and days.

Are you looking at QPF and Dynamics? You know how these work.... rely on trends, and then if isn't there, imagine it.

Gradients at the surface are constructive, gradients aloft are destructive....same reason a hurricane gets sheared apart, despite being over bath water.

Sometimes a strong gradient is destructive for a storm because it creates high wind velocities aloft, which rip the storm apart, or at least prevent it from realizing its full potential. Ever wonder why not all waves over 84 degree SSTs blossom into major hurricanes? There are other factors, aside from the baroclinic zone to consider with respect to storm development. The ultimate irony is how sensitive intense storms are to the surrounding envt....they not only need to be fueled at the surface, but nurtured aloft.

@Typhoon Tip...take it away lol

You can set up tables with all model data like that, too.

Just realized this cool feature existed on F5 (eurowx) I really recommend that site...in addition to that and the NARCAN maps, it has the nice simulated RAD shots that are nice blog templates. I rea

May need to scale back to 12-16".

Ouch....Feb 94 did the 7-10 split right around NE lol.....yesterday north, the weekend south. Looked like 20" 1-2 punch like 5-6 days ago.