40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Yea, def. OP time. -
GEFS and GEPS didn't really improve..
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GEM rebounded a bit....nice shift ne in the mid atl.
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It can happen with a huge NAO, see 2010..but its very rare.
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It was.
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All it did was amp up like EURO ....if you honestly think that NYC load will make it here, put the pipe down.
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Exactly, and it blows. Nothing hellacious about it.
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The output is worse for E MA, regardless of trends.
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Great.
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That is the tenor of this season perfectly articulated.
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Don't be surprised if that general area kicks NE some.
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Never would have guessed lol
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Don't get 18z....12z gave us about 6", so this run is probably like 4", but like I said....I think the model is too liberal with the rain given H925 thermals and intensity of precip.
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I think its about done....JMO.
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The wxbell is a bit optimistic, SV is pessimistic....I would probably lean 2/3 in favor of wxbell, though.
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1-2 degrees warmer at H925 across e MA..depending where you are. I'd have some mixing here, but should be mainly snow.
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That would complete the quad of pork....NE, SE, NW, I just need if from the SW now...that would do it.
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We are getting some clarity, its just the kind that no one likes lol
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I don't think it will be as bad as that map implies, but one or two more tics, and it could be. I still expect a tic or two se at the end.
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Probably the same good shit the those crying in NNE all week were.
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Thank god
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Thankfully the SSW propagated.
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People keep ogling over stall this, capture, crawl, lagrangian....PS: 10 hour burst, then some sprinkles. Yea, I get that the stall doesn't happen in a great spot for us, and the dynamics wane, but it's frustrating as hell. Not to mention whacking it to your 8SD NAO block and -10 wind chills, as you prep the rain gauge.
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The thump "Lagrangian"s its way through in like 10 hours...I mean, if that is slow, WTF is fast?
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Part of me wonders if that big ULL closure-virtual stall scenario doesn't try to shift NE very late in the game. Time will tell- In other news, anyone who rains on the heels of the most anomalous NAO block in over a decade, as well as an arctic surge accompanied by temps near zero needs to absolutely, positively blow a fu**ing gasket.
