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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. My argument is that the gradient (shear zone) resulting from the discord between a favorable arctic and hostile pacific set up perfectly for SW NE and the tri state region, and awfully for Maine....ie, waves just got shredded and attenuated upon entry into NE. I think a zone from me into Maine would have done better with either a little less blocking, or a better Pacific.
  2. Considering what happened last year, I would be absolutely floored if we got south of piked again this season.
  3. Sounds reasonable to me in a la nina.
  4. 93-94 is what came to mind with respect to Georgie-porgie's Euro image. Pay back is gonna be a b*tch for the south of pike this year, me thinks.
  5. Yea, I wasn't sure what he meant. It's not ideal, but there would be ample cold around with stout neg EPO
  6. I think the fact that the NHC headline in relation to Larry has included some mention of "rip currents" all week has continued to reveal all you need to know about their stance on the storm.
  7. Yea, its watchable, but my interest is pretty tempered...not only battling shear, as you mentioned, but lots of land interaction.
  8. This was never interesting in the least to me...not for a second. I know the trend has reversed, but even before that.
  9. Just a hunch, but I think we get one more bonafide threat this season and it should be respectable, unlike that fraud Henri. I am a fan of the forecasting dichotomy that Henri and Ida provided, though. I am not biased.....I make an objective call as I see fit. I was very bearish on Henri and insanely, aggressively bullish on Ida from the start.
  10. Impactful night, but flooding and severe really aren't my thing. Hopefully the tropics get cooking again.
  11. Not paying close attention, but hopefully worst stays south of me, as it seems it should. I don't need a Flash Flood jack. Leave that @Damage In Tolland
  12. You are looking at the First Call map from Thursday....I was on the wrong side of Terrabonne Bay...pretty close for 72 hrs lead...Final from early Sunday AM got the exact town correct and was 90 minutes too slow.
  13. Not sure what you are looking at, but I predicted Port Fourchon.
  14. A+ Forecast dating back to Thursday. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/08/major-hurricane-idea-verification.html
  15. That is Andrew territory...hallowed ground.
  16. I was speculating...it wasn't a proclamation. I wouldn't have guessed that, but it seemed the pressure had leveled off.
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