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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not sure why this got a weenie, but its absolutely true...intensifying systems more proficiently mix higher gusts down to the surface.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    The post Katrina wall can take up to 15'.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    This was the basis to my extreme First Call on Thursday. Still feel that way.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Which still ends up cat 4.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I have 30+ years myself, and still learn something new every year, so who knows....its def intensifying steadily, just maybe not the insane rates that we had expected...mainly because of Cuba IMHO.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, they probably want to avoid overshooting again, so just waiting on recon.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Wow...maybe compensating since the 105mph was originally a bit generous.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Cat 3 125mph
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    My money is on 115mph.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    More like 15-18 hrs
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Probably, but not a given...15' surge is possible
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    That will be challenged IMO...will be close, unless it curls more west
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Bad for wind, good for surge.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Raul, this rate of intensification just make an ERC less likely.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    This system reminds me of a post ERC storm in terms of sat presentation...just an anecdotal ob.. .I wonder if some funky internal stuff went on due to friction of land
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I got burned expecting that with Michael...its generally the case, but not always.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Be careful assuming ingest of drier continental air upon approach....thre is a mositure feed from central America.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Wouldn't building of ridge trend it west?
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Your only shot is a track far enough west.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Doesn't have time for an ERC....watch.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Now that is a catastrophic ensemble suite.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nah, too far west on that run
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    NO needs the bend back more westward in the GOM because right now eastern envelop is favored.
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