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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's certainly a better overall analog than 2011....the latter is a great Pacific analog (except for the fact la nina was a modoki), but it just isn't a very appropriate representation of the polar domain. The reason 2016 was not higher on my list is because it was very decidedly modoki with a westerly QBO, which is not a conducive environment for blocking.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I understand why people are anxious...its disturbing seeing low heights INVOF AK to begin the season, but I mentioned in the write up that that would be a thing this season. 2011-2012 was used as a Pacific analog for a reason. However, I am confident that it will not ruin the season like it did 10 years ago. It's not going to be a wall to wall winter and we just need to tolerate that.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't, history does....the data is there.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    It already went negative at 50mb during October. I included all of the -QBO La nina stuff in my outlook. We should see blocking reemerge later this season.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Rat is climo for November.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Everyone does....just like 2017, and we slammed a correct forecast down the consensus' throat then, too.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Wanna know what really pisses me off...when they supposedly have a blizzard on a holiday movie that stands everyone together for Chistmas, then you see them walk out the next day to like 2" of crust. Blizzard my ass
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    If I had known, I would have given you my spot. I didn't realize. We can make sure that doesn't happen at future events.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Kevin @Sugarloaf1989, so glad you made it out and so very sorry to hear about your dad. Hang in there and hope to see you again soon.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    You are a blast to hang out with. Look forward to next month. I'll fire up a thread tomorrow.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, it sounds like a cop out in some ways, but that is how I see it and I posted ample research as to why.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's not going to be 1995-1996 or anything, but it won't rat.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I honestly have zero concern about this winter...zip.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I should finish tomorrow, too..... not nearly as many leaves as I had Thursday.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    No way. Its temporary.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    We have a few tables in the back...Bob, Winterwolf and I right now
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have to hit the leaves for the final run tomorrow.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sucks. I just got here.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll see what I can do...I should be there by 2. We did one year...
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    It was windy today
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Take a look at 2017-2018, 2000-2001 and 2005-2006.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    LOL I have to wear it at work, too
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nah, I took him down...I campaigned relentlessly throughout all of the regional forums.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would suggest looking at their snowfall totals from my main analogs, but as a guess, near normal temps and slightly above average snowfall.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    The reminds me of the weenie of the year voting we used to do here at New Years. I remember I upset Brick Tamland in 2009 haha.
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