40/70 Benchmark
-
Posts
72,826 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
-
#dumbfounded.
-
I doubt that. I have only seen a major sleet event once in my life time. It can cut down on accumulations, sure. 1" of glaze takes a lot more to go right than you are implying...you need ample QPF and very little sleet contamination. Both are dubious here given the progressive pattern, and depth of cold.
-
Agreed on all accounts.
-
I wouldn't worry about that verbatim. Your biggest worry will be IP vs glaze.
-
Only diff was it was more EPO that year....its replaced with NAO this season. AO is common denominator.
-
You nailed that. Good job.
-
Best part of all of this is that the nasty sun is held at bay...you want a recipe for retention from mid Feb onward, that is it.....several days of clouds. We had stretches like that in '94...I'd get 6", and the slush on the side of the roads will still be in tact when it would begin again.
-
So you think its mid level thermals are on point, hence a larger area of glaze?......or shift the entire thermal profile, and thus precip type stratification SE?
-
My 18 friends and I agree.
-
Yea, no one's fault....its just a mess with 10 threads.
-
I understand that.....but at the end of the period, its still alot of snow N of pike,...no worries, no one is depriving ma nature the right to steal your power-
-
Agreed.
-
Take
-
Man, the big snow gradient for Tuesday is right over my house on the EURO.
-
I'd be fine with an ice storm, then big snows...sign me up. Just go to mom's in Wilmington for power bc god knows that place doesn't do ice.
-
Right, but how is at better than other guidance at H5, yet worse at the surface?
-
How that model scores so highly is one of the great mysteries of the world.
-
Figures this would be the one time the GEM nails a big phase....after all of the times it gave SNE 40" a pop-
-
For the time being...wouldn't be the first time that the EURO erred on the side of phasing in the mid range.
-
I have a hard time buying that...sorry. Not out of any bias, but for the same reason I have doubted a HECS all season....when in doubt, hedge towards less phasing. I was wrong on the no big dogs this season, so maybe I'll be wrong again, but I will go down with that ship.
-
I guess it just irritated me that you lumped me in with that MO...I think most would tell you I'm not biased towards snow. I desire it, yes....but I call it how I see it. I just happened to disagree.....which is fine. I respect your opinion, and just ask for that to be reciprocated because what you have implied does not demonstrate that. Obviously I am no pro, but I feel like that's common courtesy. Nothing personal at all.
-
This is exactly what I was trying to say yesterday, when all hell broke loose. 2-3" off of 9-10" is about 6-8". Exactly....typical SWFE. I think that is pretty reasonable.
-
Hopefully it doesn't just nail the other side of the globe, like usual.
-
Yea, sell a full phase. How is it fully phased w a 1006mb low?
-
