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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I wouldn't disagree with any of this.
  2. Well, that is reasonable. Below normal is different from a rat.
  3. I know this sounds crazy, but it just may be not quite as good as 2010-2011, and better than 2011-2012. Just maybe-
  4. You need to register for the virtual session of remedial la nina climo 101.
  5. I would rather be here and avoid the rat, than be in it.
  6. Did you feel guilty and dirty afterwards?
  7. I was actually going to start that this AM, but got side tracked and forgot.
  8. Well, my response if the same with respect to that.
  9. Yes. Agree....this is why we can take the CP la Nina conceptualization off of the table IMO, which is good news. However, it is already basin wide, so we can't really dub it an EP event, either....not so great.
  10. My feelings are on the SAI is that is is a useful tool, but he doesn't use it correctly. Its but one indicator to be weighed against everything else, and predicating entire seasonal forecasts on it, as he does, is a recipe for failure.
  11. I think its relatively likely for December....PNA is more dubious, but so far....it looks like the PDO may not be as hostile as originally feared, so...
  12. Why do you want more of this? I find myself becoming angry over this late season humidity....
  13. I wish last October's pattern remained.
  14. I haven't had any interesting weather since December.
  15. Count me in....just so you all know, pants will be OFF
  16. I didn't go big last season. I was around normal, but was still way off. The season before I went big.
  17. Yea, August didn't knock my socks off, either.
  18. Looks like I would be near the line on that...cute fantasy.
  19. I may do another one on EMI (el nino modoki index), or just integrate that into the ENSO section of the actual outlook...not sure.
  20. It was just too tedious the other way. I feel it distracted people from the point of the whole damn exercise, which to to convey my thoughts as to how the ensuing winter will evolve. However, the guys like @HoarfrostHubb, who like the foundational material, can simply clink the link.
  21. Here is the last one on the EPO. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/10/winter-2020-2021-addendum-5-east.html
  22. These are just basic refreshers to get primed for the actual outlook....if you don't need it, then don't bother. I know that I usually do...especially for the tropical stuff. This should help shorten the finished product and make it more practical for consumption.
  23. Addendum #4: The Pacific Oscillations: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/10/winter-2020-2021-addendum-4-pacific.html
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