40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Its like 4-5" -
Euro is much more realistic IMO, Steve....check that NARCAN.
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GFS is about 10" here.....possible, but I will take the under attm. I think that is my ceiling, though....if EVERYTHING breaks right.
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I buy that for you.
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I said this earlier tonight, Steve, but I feel as though the GFS is overdoing QPF east of the mid level lows...classic model bias. I know that you are aware, but meteorology, not modelology....any snowfall algorithm is only as good as the model output from which it is derived....so yea, I will punt the 20" in N ORH county on the GFS to the moon and back.
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Its my preferred snow algorithm, but it's still merely a tool....sure, if all I did was rip and read that on my blog, then clearly I would forecast 9.7" of snow for you. I would also view more than one model....
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Looks like we are going to make it it your 1/20 date of pondering whether we may waste this period.
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Well, this one's number will not be retired here in MEHthuen...can tell you that. Lol
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Man, the former museum man is feisty tonight
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Is what never right?
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Yea, maybe for N ORH country and the hills of NW CT...
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Nothing wrong per se, but I myself don't really see the value in beating those large scale features at this juncture....I think the major details to iron out are the more nuanced features that we were discussing earlier this evening. But it's a weather forum...knock yourself out.
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This AM was it for me. The SW came ashore and it still sucked. Now it's just ironing out the nuances from here on in...
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Yea, I don't get the run to run scrutinizing at this point.
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I'm so passed that...it is what it is, at this point....small wobbles in track are meaningless for most of SNE.
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Yea, its fair to question snowgrowth, too with the mid levels so jacked up. Not pretty.
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Why do you plan to take your aggression at scooter out on me? Lol
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I don't think so.....that one downsloped the CTRV horrendously.
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Not necessarily if it sleets.
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I view this is more of a general, uniform WAA slug....in for like 8-10 hours, and drizzle-slot. Banding is usually more west of the mid level lows...
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Agree.
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QPF is often overdone east of mid level lows....but noteworthy trend.
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I could see a foot there, but jackpot even with mid levels west? Where did the H85 and H7 lows track in 12/14/1992? This is where getting the mid level to at least stretch out, and if not totally redevelop on approach, would be huge..
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...which brings me back to 12-16-2007.....that did not happen.
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Certainly an interesting forecast. Its nice to have a system not working out perfectly, and yet not have the thread go to crap and still have great discussion.
