Jump to content

40/70 Benchmark

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    73,895

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right on schedule.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like about 4-5" here.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Doesn't bother me in the least.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Dissing the charts is a real trigger for Steve lol
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its not as bad as it looks...its like 1-3 degrees above average as is. I would argue its actually biased a bit warm at the surface around here with cold being plentiful in Canada. It has the right idea IMO. It implies a blend of Apps runners/SWFE and Miller B redevelopment, dependent upon how timing and degree of any confluence and blocking that is in place.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Up to 46.4 now..inversion is breaking.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, serviceable implies in the game, but I agree its precarious there...just going by past experience/climo for these regimes.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    The favorable regime is likely to carry over into early Jan, and we could even get a nice phase-change event before another crappy stretch.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    .25" last Friday 11/26.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Use this site for ENSO appropriate monthly MJO composites, guys. MJO Tables - MeteoNetwork
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Pike points north good, I-84 points north servicable. KCON and up is great.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, go ensembles...OP is too ugly.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly what I am confident takes place. Polar domain will get less hostile around holidays, but there isn't going to be big blocking until late season IMO.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was just about to tell him the same thing....its going to be 12/2007 lite for a stetch.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    43.9 at home....no torch yet.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Australian...ACCESS on F5.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    HAHA Got ya. I think we are good before xmas.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Australian model is great for all of SNE....lol ICON is nice north of pike.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    No one denied a mild period mid month...it was you punting the month that was the source of dissent.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Same idea...probably going to be some gradient and I would not expect any singularly huge events with that compressed flow. Fits with the idea from the seasonal outlook w respect to Dec.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have this for phase 7/Dec/Nina
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    The polar domain should get a bit less hostile later in December, but any major disruption is well over a month away and perhaps closer to two+ months away. We should do fine later this month,,,especially northern half of region. If there is a "blizzard" type of event this year, best shot is early March....with perhaps a smaller secondary maxima of potential early Jan before warmer interlude again establishes.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, that next on the 6th is a lost cause. I will do a write up this wknd.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not worried at all.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    GFS OP is an error with the very warm look of late....its totally at odds with tropical forcing, for which we have a very good consensus. The fairly mild interlude that we will have mid month belies the true overall tenor of this month.
×
×
  • Create New...