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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. No argument there...but if you want high-end events in January, then you need arctic air.
  2. Look at any time frame you want....euro was a whiff most of that modeling evolution, and even close in...it had the death band over extreme s NH....then I smoked exhaust while Brian's chickens did naked snow angels in 34"....so don't tell me the shit was too amped.
  3. There is no reason that the mid level energy should inexplicably evaporate as it enters SNE.
  4. This reminds me of a weaker version of the March 2018 event that nailed e MA with the mid level goodies.
  5. RGEM, UK and GFS all jacked e MA w big totals.....again, I'm not arguing it was ever likely. But e MA does not need deep antecedent cold in mid winter to jack. Just the mid level banding, like anywhere else.
  6. Fair enough. One event.....I rest my case.
  7. I thought there was arctic air around for that? I was in the teens when it began, so it was a decent airmass.
  8. GFS and GEM did, too....GFS was a few days ago. Again, I never took it seriously, but just saying...
  9. I understand that, but that was still well over a foot around here on Monday from the capture.
  10. That was a nice burst last night....I'm a sucker for great SGZ. Hit 39.7 and its just about gone.
  11. There was some guidance showing a blockbuster, but I agree that it was never really viable.
  12. Answers my earlier question...I'd rather see the GFS do that, than the EURO.
  13. I'm sure @ORH_wxman can hep me here....name the January events that dropped widespread 20"+ over a relatively large area without a true arctic airmass....probably a fairly short list.
  14. Seen folks talking about truly upper echelon potential......you need arctic air around to achieve that, at least in January, anyway....I'm not referring to just temps and I don't necessarily mean P-Type issues. Its tough to pull off a true upper tier systems in mid January without arctic air. You have more margin for error at peak climo with respect to temps and reasonably large systems....but good luck pulling widespread 20"+ in mid January without arctic air. I'm not complaining about it...just stating an opinion.
  15. I've been out all day.....is guidance shifting the blocking south of Greenland?
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