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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Strong la nina with a very positive PNA? Not sure that is the best seasonal analog..
  2. Lots going on for me here in Uganda, but going to try to get things started on Sunday night. Past few days have solidified some doubt that I had. I'm feeling confident in my ideas.
  3. Makes sense....pretty early climo wise for a major SSW
  4. The reason that winter had some redeemable moments is because it wasn't severely east-based, like most super el nino events...it was basin wide.
  5. I always skip his long winded dribble, so I hadn't even seen that. What an abysmal post.
  6. Non-alcoholic brew for me lol Finally a good turn out...at least on paper...
  7. I was all over that mid ATL blizzard in the seasonal call.
  8. This la nina will certainly be weaker than last year's.
  9. The CFS is on crack...complete BS. Low end mod is ceiling here.
  10. Why do you keep deflecting the issue? This isn't about JB, or the 2015 el nino...an early season warming is a completely viable possibility.
  11. Possible...you'll find out soon enough.
  12. No, but similar to that...its linked in my outlook last year. I'll take a look at that, though.
  13. Why do you feel so threatened by anything that potentially supports wintery outcomes? Bit more confidence in a Canadian warming at 2-3:weeks lead than ENSO state at 8-9 months lead.
  14. Can't wait...outlook will def be out by then...gonna start it soon, once I get a better internet feed.
  15. I'm in Africa..I followed the games on ESPN gamecast, but working on streaming ALCS.
  16. The Springer article is much better...more extensive. That is the piece that I use.
  17. Funny how we seem to have arrived at some similar conclusions despite different methodologies. Mine should be out in early November.
  18. I'm actually glad to see the steep drop in 3.4 because it was looking pretty modoki for a bit. People need to remember that this once every ten year drop occured with region 3.4 at neutral, so let's not get carried away.
  19. Looking like November in ORH at Funky Murphy's it is.
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