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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is all I am saying....not that a great December is a slam dunk. I feel like it will be good for at least most of us, but obviously I could be off..... I just don't see how anyone can be confident either way right now.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Unless you are fortunate enough to have a perfect pattern with ideal placement of +PP, the route to a plentiful December in terms of snowfall for coastal SNE is positive AO/NAO with a plentiful supply of cold in Canada. Not to say there isn't risk involved with that, but there is more risk for the coast with early season coastals IMHO. The 12/5/2003 events are not that common.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    December 2007 was like that...whopper of a +polar domain, but it was biased towards us. Obviously we got lucky getting record snows out of it...
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is exactly why I am not sure why people are jumping off of cliffs with respect to December right now. Obviously it doesn't look like it will be an epic pattern in a prototypical sense, but the punt conversation is stilly.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't mean the whole season...I just mean that period as currently modeled verbatim.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, it came down to luck....the timing sequence was just off that year, and it was on in 2007.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    It was full...try now
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I said yesterday, this pattern reminds me a lot of the 2018-2019 season.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Here is the link for package descriptions. If we can't get one or two more people, you both can probably just subscribe to pro, like I did for $15 (includes ensembles and UK etc), or basic for $10. F5Weather Weather Forecasts & Models ECMWF UKMET ACCESS GEM ICON (f5wx.com)
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea. I do December through March.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    The only thing that you can post that won't elicit a weenie from Kev is Lips N' Hips
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nothing is as fast as SV.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, think it over...if I can get at least like 5 people, then I will. F5 has by far the most accurate snowfall maps...the rest of the graphics are meh....aside from great RAD simulations.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Never accessed it mobile...I'll have to check
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Anyone interested in going in on F5 weather with me? It has the most accurate snow maps....I can do a business account for $50 monthly, which up to 10 people can access. Let me know and if I get a few willing to pay life $5 monthly, then I will.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Haha Well, most of the area did.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly my point...and all of SNE with the exception of my area had above average snowfall.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    You average like 4" before Christmas, Luke.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    The just isn't much left to say. We will see what happens.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    No question where you are.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    The main difference is I think AK area will be more problematic than 2010-2011, as it was in November...but good thing no one forecasted those type of snowfall amounts.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    2008 is one of the best December analogs IMO...I doubled up on it in the composite.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    My bad. Better?
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right....but think about it. November was cold and we nearly had a significant snow event. I would argue it has started early, but we just didn't really benefit from it because it was too early and for climo. Now December looks to break for a bit before reloading second half. Still on tract for the "early" start IMO.
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