Jump to content

40/70 Benchmark

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    74,733

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Isn't it ironic that a weaker initial system and longer term track to the east is "bad" for once....
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would still strongly hedge that it will. its being delayed....maybe it means a cat 3 peak, as opposed to 4....
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, nobody knows, really.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    If there were ever a season to pull that off....
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Probably why we are still waiting for the EW to close off....its slowed things down some.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just making the same obs and drawing the same conclusions.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Too many folks are approaching this like its a slam dunk, PV on roids season.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's the point; nobody is sure of anything with respect to the eruption, aside from its influence in the S HEM.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, that's what I meant.....I think I recall ECMWF admitting that the last round of upgrades prioritized the mid latitudes at the expanse of the tropics.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    GFS has closed the cap, to a degree, on the EURO IMHO.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looking at just how far west some these runs are, sure....it just depends on how close it gets to the west coast of FL. I shouldn't have initially been so dismissive before viewing all of the AM suite.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not sure Hunga Tonga doesn't trend the polar strat warmer in the N HEM.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    If anything, a system crawling has more time to build the fetch and then you add excessive freshwater flooding from 20"+ RF.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Spare Florida of major wind damage, which isn't the primary threat, anyway.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nice core.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, it has to intensify some, or else it peaks as weak and I do think it sneaks into moderate territory.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I mean in terms of structural damage.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Wind won't be the story with this one.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    All I said was it didn't match '38.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    39.0 last night.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, this is why I was saying the further west it goes, the weaker the LF. N gulf coast will primarily bring hydro issues.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    My grass is growing the fastest since May.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I still say you want this in faster, and further south if you want an intense LF. I suspect a N GOM collapser if not.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    It looks like Bob down the cape.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly. If Fiona had hit us, it would have rivaled '38.
×
×
  • Create New...