40/70 Benchmark

And yes, I got that image from DT..before I get accused of copying his outlook.

PS: Your claim that the NAO doesn't matter in during December of a la nina is just as ridiculous as your accusations: The west is cold due to the RNA...its not difficult.

What point did I miss? I was simply speaking of the December NAO....nothing more. I'm not sure what your issue is, but you are one ill human being. I have the west colder because I expect an RNA in December, which looks correct. Not a big leap of faith in a la nina. It has nothing to do with you. You issued your outlook in October, and I developed my sensible analog composite in SEPTEMBER....as the link below illustrates. The only tweak that I made to it in November was to add one 2010 and one more 2020. I solicit information regarding your view on things for the same reason that I do with anyone else on social media....because I value your input. Have I incorporated some of the tools that you use such as ACE, solar and sensible weather analogs? Yes, because I felt as though I was too dependent on ENSO, but I developed the composites myself. ENSO Continues to Stagnate as Winter Clarity Increases | Eastern Mass Weather I have a pretty ferocious first half of winter in the east with the NAO trending negative in December, and you do not....you are wayyyy off base with these outlandish claims. Anyone who reads my stuff is pretty convinced that I thoroughly research everything and spend far too much time to simply copy a forecast, dude. Stop making accusations about my work when you don't even read it...its both ignorant and absurd.

I think scooter may have visited, too....I was pretty out of it....the meds that they had me on actually made me violent, which is totally not in my nature. I was threatening staff, etc....was nuts.

That must be off, its north of Steve and his dogs.

Yea, my premise this fall was to be very skeptical of a good Pacific until we get close to the new year...don't expect a great December in that regard. But it looks like the blocking is kicking into high gear a bit faster than my sensible analogs had suggested, so that is good. Every other tool I used was guns blazing for December with respect to the NAO....just my new sensible weather composite had more of a +NAO-December vibe, which gave me a bit of pause in that regard.

I think I side with the GEFS on that, but we'll see....the Pacific will eventually improve, but I think it will take some time.

I will never forget him coming to visit me in the hospital after that terrible accident I was in 13 years ago.....he is a true weenie, but also a true friend.

It looks like it hits the block and slides out east after being tucked.

Redux 30 years to the day.

DT posted on Euro weekly and new CMC monthly...both orgasmic and in very good agreement

He means GFS OP

You know it hasn't been a great day of runs when you see 3 new pages and 90% of the posts are birthday greetings

Its almost like subsidence on either side of a CSI band...these very active periods are often book ended by quisiecence.

Remember that alot of these periods of big blocking can begin on a frustrating note...we had Boxing day hug and dry slot many to conclude a December that featured less snow than one may expect given the pattern...and March 2018 began with a pretty big bust early in the month....but these dates get forgotten given the 20 day orgy that followed.

That guy is genuinely a tool.

I think even if everything works out and goes according to plan, people need to be prepared for the chance that most of the snow comes in January. It takes a while more often than not.

Yea, I don't care about the noise that people like @greenmtnwxuse as a vehicle for torture.

This is the one post I need or care to read after a bust afternoon. All good.

Nice holiday mood day

Anyone else getting flurries?

Anything before mid December is gravy.

Is it really a Grinch if there are no gifts (snow) to steal? lol

I'm not sure what DT likes about that.

I don't expect that.....worst case is probably an ill-timed relaxation.