40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Yea, baroclinicity only helps if the upper levels allow the system to avail of it.
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Just edge it east 100mi and we'd be nude for days.
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Like the rev says, "hype sells".
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Can't help but wonder how this abundance of baroclinicity due to the jet fuel SSTs around the hemisphere is going to play out this cold season. Should be fun if we can introduce some arctic airmasses into the fray. Maybe celebrate the 30th anniversary in style.
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@512highPhil, are you going to make it on 12/10?
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.75" as of midnight and still absolutely pouring.
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If course, we managed to torch in the few days before xmas...
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Yea, rare breed. ..probably helped that it was a two-pronged event.
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I had like 5-6", then some sleet and slot.
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That event was excellent....I had like 20" over the two days...similar to 12/2019.
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Eastern Mass got screwed in 12/30/00.
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I'll aim for middayish....hopefully a threat to track, but I have a feeling December starts slowly and mild.
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I don't think it's a horrible analog..flawed, sure, but there are certainly much worse.
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The PNA and PDO are not as highly correlated as many think.
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The last two years are def. decent analogs.
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This is what I want for October:
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I prefer 40s and overcast in the fall.
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I believe there is some sort of negative correlation between October and the winter, while there is a positive correlation between November and winter. But the October snow argument is a myth.
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I agree. I think 2000 evolved like that.
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CFS thinks I am on the right track for Novie:
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Perfect. That should do it-
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TBH, I need October to warm up in the east, and cool off in the west for my analogs to continue looking good.
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He has said he like 2000-2001 as an analog.
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Well, you mentioned "now that October SAI is out", like it matters what it is mid month...maybe I read too much into it...
