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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Even strong is...like 1.6 or 1.7 ONI.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    It depends on structure. Next winter is likely to be west biased.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Next winter will be good assuming a healthy Nino. Its not going to be a super event. Take a time out.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    It evens out....I have also had forecasts work out better than they should have. It happens...can't be shy about embracing forecast misses bc they become your ally moving forward and also foster a sense of credibility.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have 3.5" of snow....my record low dating back to 1956 is 19.9". Considering the awful luck we have had this season, I think we will make up some ground, aside from any strat voodoo.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I still think March has nice potential, but I understand the sentiment and don't blame you.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Watch it pull a Feb 2021...
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    86-87 will be on the list next year.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Wait for the autopsy on on ols man winter for a definitive diagnosis on COD. LOL
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd take this over the 80s. If you want to try to point ot one thing aside from just bad luck, I don't think we have been the degree of poleward Aleutian ridging that I expect from an eastward titling la nina this year.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not beating myself up, but it is what it is. You have to admit when you're wrong.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is totally the 80s if we rat this year...that would be five consecutive well below climo snowfall years. Can finally shut up the lord of regression once and for all.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I missed January...no way to equivocate on that. February I had as a mild month, so I would need the big March to come through and maybe some luck in Feb.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    That said, its def time to admit that I missed the mark in January.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Alot of my snowfall numbers are attainable just through a great March...run into one in Feb, and boom.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I still think we see that flip. I won't buy this year ratting until it actually does.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    +1.5" for 3.5" seasonal total..
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    There have always been cycles, but there is no question that this warming on athropogenetically enhanced.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    The attribution is what I have an issue with...no question its real.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    1.5" Final
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    The last big two-pulser I recall was December 2019.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I already have my fantasy baseball book for 2023, so if this fails, I'll turn to my keeper decisions.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Blaming climate change for very unfavorable H5 trends is every bit as dumb as those scoffing at the idea of global warming in Feb 2015. I think a better argument is during marginal events like today, when .5 - 1 degree colder would have made for a nice event. But guidance hallucinating a PV lobe into existence that turn out not to be there has nothing to do with climate change.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    1" as of 4pm...
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    'Bout time...
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