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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    So 12/10 @ Funky's...
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I mowed today
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    We are have way through the month....I would hold off on using the SAI.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://psl.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/data/composites/printpage.pl https://psl.noaa.gov/data/usclimdivs/
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    We usually do Funky Murphy's...
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly how I feel. Everyone shuns it once they realize it isn't the silver bullet of seasonal forecasting. It's just another tool...like the QBO, etc
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    So wasn't conjuring up electricity hundreds of years ago.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's worth checking before you go through any editing trouble because believe it or not, there is actually symmetry between my concurrent analogs, and low ACE, high solar years.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Good job. I like your analogs, but I'm not sure why you chose to disregard low ACE based on an increase in activity. We are still definitely low ACE. I would also be careful about implying that this will be a bonafide moderate la nina because its struggling to even get there in terms of ONI. I think Hunga Tonga is a wild card in terms of precip that needs to be considered.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes. I guess people want to stray from the usual spot?
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    It always was more about the rate of change....ie SAI, more then the actual cover (SCE). The people claiming its worthless are every bit as ridiculous as those claiming its gospel. It's one damn tool.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Killer Hadley Cells everywhere...
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    1.76" Storm Total.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I mean.....I'm not trying to invalidate your sentiment or get in a "I've had it worse" pissing contest. haha I know you guys have had it worse, just saying my local area up here has been a relative hole. On a regional level, you guys are taking it on the chin.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, but I definitely don't think it can still be classified as "low".
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I get it....I have had four consecutive seasons of well below average snowfall. I am very confident that your poor streak will end next season.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I get that, and its baked into what I said.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    We are actually well into recovery from the solar nadir of 2020....starting to border on high-solar.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    How about wild?
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I must have approached 2"...I had 1.33" around 8am and there has been some heavy rain since then. Probably will fall short, though.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    UPDATE: I wasn't surprised-
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd post the H5 chart....2m charts aren't as accurate and will often be biased warm.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, by consensus, I was just referring to the seasonal guidance posted...not forecasters. Cosgrove is on this stormy train that you are alluding to.....he thinks its going to be very stormy, like 92-93 and 93-94 with a big STJ. I think @raindancewx is in that camp, too, but he has a very mild outlook in the east. Cosgrove is cold with a negative AO/NAO.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    .76" prior to midnight, .57" since midnight for a total of 1.33"....still raining fairly heavily.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    WILD!!!
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