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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Still a shot at some garbage inverted terd, too....can never entirely close the door on those things.
  2. I mean, its really windy...but its nothing I will remember for years to come (like Feb 2010), aside from the fact that is resulted in the longest thread ever for a non-tropical rain event.
  3. Its been exactly as I had expected for my area....a shitty drive, but nothing too out of the ordinary.
  4. I'll still take that if it results in more 30"ers that pork me with 13". I'll gladly trade a few 6"ers that leave me with 3".
  5. Location of the greatest SST anomalies in the crudest sense..you can also look at OLR and VP. I have plenty on that in my outlooks. But I don't mean to imply that there aren't exceptions...obviously nothing operates in a vacuum and there are other hemispheric drivers to consider, but ENSO structure is a key player assuming decent intensity. The position isn't as important for very weak events because obviously the forcing is weaker, thus the relationship is more diffuse.
  6. It's not a crap shoot....especially once they have some intensity. It determines where the forcing sets up to a large extent.
  7. 89-90 would fit right in with my current strings of winter....lame and unremarkable, but not awful.
  8. No....probably moderate or strong (not super).
  9. No way. That was east-based. Pretty confident it will be west-based.
  10. Makes sense....have a last second miracle trend so that its close enough for me to make out the fingerprint of old man winter as he flips me the byrd.
  11. Well, its done a pretty good job predicting my future for nearly 5 years.
  12. I'd kill for one right now, which is saying something...
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