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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    It looks like Bob down the cape.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly. If Fiona had hit us, it would have rivaled '38.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I believe so...not to mention '38 struck at a significantly further south latitude.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the main difference was that this didn't move nearly as fast as '38, which allowed for the drop to relatively modest wind intensity on approach.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    My early impression is that '38 was significantly worse, though this was a strong hit.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Don't do it...
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    35MPH
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    The whole reason why tropical systems are usually a PIA is because the tropics are governed by predominately meager steering influences, and then timing the precise interaction with the westerlies is a whole other headache. Once the westerlies pick them up, its a mail-in forecast.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    The GFS is a good example of why the ultimate landfall intensity is a real question.....the fact that it may interact significantly with that mid latitude trough prior to LF gives me pause. Its going to need to veer in fast and south to be intense.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Once they get picked up by a trough, its a pretty easy forecast.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Totally...no argument. But like I said, the warning system is no comparison today, obviously...which helps mitigate death.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    You look at that time stamp, and expect to see 320 from the GFS...but 18 on the EURO? Surreal...
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Totally, except they will be much more prepared.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/09/fledgling-caribbean-tropical-system.html First Call on Monday
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was out there in August.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have family in Hyannis.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Absolutely....it can track up the coast and gives us a breezy deluge, or it can track near/off of the coast and be a good nor' easter, but it isn't going to hit dead on as a hurricane. Will some models threaten with that? Probably.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its crazy how many knowledgeable people just can't wrap their minds around the fact that a tropical system skirting SNE to the east is NBD in terms of wind. They see the pretty picture with the low near the cape and just lose their minds. This system as no chance to do what people are hoping it does.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    As a bonafide hurricane? No.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I go out and check it...not hard
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    1.14" on the day...4.30" on the month. Definite improvement.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Totally. Those parabolic recurves are useless. This is not a NE storm.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    The title is from March.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    La nina will be dying by the latter portion of winter. I don't really see the progress with the subsurface...nor worried about it. I think the ceiling is -1.2 SON ONI.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I remember us having this same conversation last month and frankly, I don't see that anything has changed. I expect a similar outcome.
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