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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Agree, but the increasingly stout solar was part of my rationale, in addition to 2001 popping up as a sensible analog. I'm not worried about a furnace.
  2. The pig making an appearance isn't the end of the world, though scary, yes. My sensible analog composite doubled up on 2001-2002, so that wouldn't suprise me. I am confident that it won't be a permanent fixture like it was that season, but I did call for a slightly positive seasonal EPO in the mean because those RNA periods have us playing with fire with respect to getting those lower heights in the vicinity of AK at times. I wouldn't worry too much, but those December 2009 calls by some were dumb IMO.
  3. I had a a serviceable SWFE type second half after a bleh first half. I had a good January.
  4. Can work later in the month, but it's tough to score in a less than pristine pattern with hostile climo.
  5. Temper tantrums over a failed Tday threat lol
  6. I don't expect much until like second week of month
  7. I had a mild early month of December, transition to a colder gradient look as the month aged. RNA is the word of the day for December.
  8. Boat leaving Nassau...offline for the night.
  9. Pretty inconsequential. Maybe it peaks ar 1.2 instead of 1.0? That's why you give a range.
  10. I'll take that pattern in December...string of coastals that early brings Cantore to ORH for TSnow orgies.
  11. WAA snows, SWFE, can even be Miller Bs if the EPO block is strong enough and well positioned
  12. That is pretty much what I had for December.
  13. The UK has been way too warm for winter all fall, as it was waaay too strong with la nina. Not sure if that is still the case...
  14. Not specifically...but they are in my social media circle.
  15. Thanks, man. I feel like adding a third 2020 and a 2010 alleviated some of the issues that began emerging with the composite later in the fall. The work of @OHweatherreally made it clear as to why it helped. I love coming to similar conclusions through different methodologies...its so cool and adds confidence.
  16. Dude, I didn't know we were going to Miami/Bahamas until like Tuesday....I was shitting myself and hardly sleeping trying to bang that out. She was starting to get annoyed. That is why I didn't go more in depth on how the analog composite has done over the summer and how it looks for Novie. I may do a separate post on that when I get back.
  17. Both cheeks stuck together firmly here in Miami...two-ply day
  18. By "It uses topography ", he means "I"...
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