Sorry for being lazy in this thread of late, but really up against it w respect to time w balancing work and pumping this publication out before Friday, so really appreciate the answers to random questions.
More to it than that....what is the NAO doing, how close by and pervasive is cold source, etc. Its not going to be record RNA like last December. Its like calling for another blizzard of 78 every time a snowstorm is modeled.
I still worry, but TBH, 4 consecutive years of well below normal has kind of inured me to the variation. I'm no longer waiting for the other shoe to drop.
I think anyone inside of I 495, at least, should be rooting for some element of SE ridging this December....SWFE are how you get it done near the coast during normal seasons, nvm with these exotic positive SST anomalies this year.