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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Anyone have the new link for JISAO Mantua PDO data? The site has been redesigned....
  2. Sorry for being lazy in this thread of late, but really up against it w respect to time w balancing work and pumping this publication out before Friday, so really appreciate the answers to random questions.
  3. I am planning on a late Thursday/Thursday night publication, as I am going away with the wife on Friday and having it carry over would end in divorce.
  4. I am always a fan of influx of heat and mositure transport towards the pole late in the fall. Doesn't hurt.
  5. 2020 dead ringer for QBO, too...those are my two primary QBO analogs. 2010 is one of 5 primary ENSO analogs.
  6. I've been looking at this alot on Friday and today...pretty clear theme IMO.
  7. He is awesome. I use his stuff alot in my work.
  8. I've resisted the urge to throw the central air on...couldn't bring myself to do it.
  9. I'd honestly rather take my chances with somewhat of a reversion back.
  10. More to it than that....what is the NAO doing, how close by and pervasive is cold source, etc. Its not going to be record RNA like last December. Its like calling for another blizzard of 78 every time a snowstorm is modeled.
  11. I don't even look until we fire the subscription up. Still long term mode for one more week, then vaca before I come back and flip to medium range.
  12. I could see a path to a 5th this year, but not a 6th.
  13. I still worry, but TBH, 4 consecutive years of well below normal has kind of inured me to the variation. I'm no longer waiting for the other shoe to drop.
  14. I think anyone inside of I 495, at least, should be rooting for some element of SE ridging this December....SWFE are how you get it done near the coast during normal seasons, nvm with these exotic positive SST anomalies this year.
  15. Our very best months of December for a lot of SNE have some se ridging.
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