40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Hopefully we can keep Friday waaaaaay NW of where I live.
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Oh boy...between the circle jerk waaaaay se of where I live, and the instability waaaaaaay sw of where I live, I feel a very comforting sense of continuity from the past several years. Why? Because its Ground Hog Day.
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Yea, you can always drop the "B" bomb once it is clear within a day or two...going there at one week lead is inviting large error...especially in a situation that has and continues to be in such flux. -
I feel as though its a 50/50 proposition that we are all buried alive
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Gotcha. Figured I was missing something...so you don't mean similar in terms of evolution, but rather the similarity with respect to that particular point in the respective lifecycles.
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Yea, that's right.
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No...that was 12/13/2007. 12/9/2005 ripped a whole in the earth near the Buzzards Bay/canal. I jacked in that with like 16".
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I mean crappy posts lead to 5PPD
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That was a Miller A that came out of the GOM.....not sure I agree....
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I got it along with a second covid booster in like October.
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PNA should trend towards neutral during the second half of December and perhaps some outright +PNA in January....couple that with a reoccurrence of NAO and the mid Atl should join the fray before we thaw.
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FLU FTW
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My prayers may have been answered in short order.
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Primary still makes to too far N on that for my liking....need it in OH, not MI.
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Too early, but I am usually not worried about that in an RNA/NAO la nina pattern....those occlusion related issues are usually more prevalent in PNA/NAO el nino regimes.
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Crappy posts overnight? Amount of allowed posts per day appear to decrease when that becomes a pattern lol
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I'm not too worried about that right now. Lets just stick with the Miller B commital....I understand it makes sense given the synoptic layout, which lends credence, but these are wholesale morphologies in the evolution of this thing in short order...lets stabilize on that front before we aim for the timing of occlusion with surgical precision.
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You should be skeptical at this range, but this trend was expected....I would be leery of expecting a blizzard, but this is our first major winter storm of the 2022-2023 season. Full Miller B committal. That GFS run is Boxing Day all over for NYC....don't care what the model is spitting out.
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12-16-07 may be a pretty good analog
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I was just breaking your ballz
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Oh man...you always queef in the punch
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Was waiting for this...so much talk about the south coast circle jerk.
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There is a limit w the primary that far N initially
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N of that...warmest layer is prob between H7 and H8
