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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    December 2007 and 1970 were my best...followed by 2008.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    .62"
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think you took that too personally. We have all done it and will do it again. The only reason I am not in this instance is because I have been busy finishing up decorating and yardwork..not because I am more evolved or anything. Lol
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    The funny part is that my outlook focuses on January, and implied a tepid NAO for December, but whatever fits your agenda.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Game is on in my eyes....nothing more to say right now. Just a game of "think of as many ways it could go wrong as possible", as some sort of deranged defense mechanism.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think you should judge the content of the post in and of itself, rather than allowing your opinion of the poster to bias how you perceive the information presented.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Probably some sort of relaxation around the holidays before a reload after the new year.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    James would be proud of his brother from another mother.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    He's long gone...won't see him again until the mid winter thaw.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd rather that than a chain of coastals....save the coastals for January.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Probably my number one seasonal analog.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I expect some of that in December
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not with RNA.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Anytime the PV is camped out over Hudson's Bay, SNE is good to go.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    No question in E NE. Not close.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    No.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    After that advertised break. You may need a breather. 2" by 12/9 would be fine with me...about what I would expect.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Free for all
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I feel like the Pacific is less favorable than 1995, which is why you guys may need to wait until January to deliver and then maybe a parting shot in March?
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I really hammered #2 in my write up...I feel like the coast may have some issues and elevation/latitude will do well in December. January is more of a regional orgy.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Literal writing, probably about...but the thought process and parsing through copious data made it considerably longer. I am obsessive about how I connect ideas and integrate information in order to convey it in precisely the manner that I intend...presentation with graphics and what not is important.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm a bit lower than you are....5-15".
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    My main question around December was how quickly the NAO would materialize and have staying power....my composite had more variability, which is reflected by some of the individual analog years, before staying more negative in January. But like I said, the NAO may fully cooperate sooner, which would be a bit better for December relative to the forecast. Getting the overall outlook generally correct is a tall enough task, but good luck with timing everything perfectly.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not necessarily a grinch...its a decent analog, but can't be taken too literal.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not sure you have an entirely accurate portrayal of what I am communicating. This is not at all a torch vs 1991-2020 climo. That said, there is a colder risk, as I said at the start of the thread. May be more of a timing issue because I def. have a very wintery January.
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