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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, I probably would too if I lived down there....even up here its getting tougher to remain objective....last good season for me was 2017-2018.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    +3SD anomaly on the self-induced ice cream headache index.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't get that impression at all....I mean, its not frigid and there are times when the cold will dump west early on, but looks like plenty of ridging over the eastern Pac and AK.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have a sneaking suspicion that no one is changing their mind about anything.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    You will probably like December more than February. I just want a serviceable pattern in December and we have just that, as modeled. Anything early on is gravy.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Certainly the cold dumps west...that's why I mentioned 2018-2019. Its not December 1995, but nor is it Dec 2015.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had 26.7" in Dec 1967....even if you lop several inches off for CC, I would take it and sprint.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, that is my take on the Euro look....there is a big ridge just off of the west coast, so its more like a la nina look....you don't have the PAC firehose eradicating all of the cold from the CONUS like you do in those traditional "game over" el nino months of December. I think the interior especially would do okay.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    December should be the worst month...but I feel like we will catch some breaks. It probably won't be snowless during the entire solar nadir.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    And latitude.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Same tactic Webber was employing last week....it washes out the western Pac warmth and evades the issue of the MEI/RONI that cannot be answered for.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Any residual thinly veiled semblance of optimism for a serviceable winter in the east.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Up and in.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    That December pattern reminds me of the 2018-2019 season...hopefully some better luck this December.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    That looks like a gradient pattern for our area in December....issue will be is the gradient near Concord, NH, like last winter, or more bodily into SNE.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Of course, from my back yard points north is warm in both composites lol
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Worth it to me....getting out of the shower and stepping into a sonar of a bathroom is awful...takes forever to dry off.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not very....gonna focus on the next 5 months first lol
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Next year is another big la nina, so this may be my one shot to get the first good season since 2017-2018.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Of course, the warmest anomalies are on a fetch due NE of Methuen, MA.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Was he gnawing on last winter?
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    That would be tedious because in reference to what Scott said, you have to find a way to control for synopitc patterns, as well.....no one worries about SST when you have a 1050 over Montreal.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Could be some pratty gnarly CFs this season....CJs so aggressive they cause chaffing.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right...it largely augments already mild patterns and caps radiational cooling. While it can impact very marginal situations, it doesn't play much of a role during many precipitation events. I do think the record warm Atlantic could play a factor this season to a degree, though.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think you will really see that this year.
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