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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Definite step towards the EURO with respect to the N stream.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, it slowed that little northern-stream moose nipple down. Enough discontinuity within itself to ignite wonder as to what the pathway along the humbling journey to capitulation would look like for the GFS given it's documented struggles with phasing.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Chicks dig climate change..keep that in mind when the napes come out to play at the park.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I hope you are right.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    My guess is nothing else caves and the EURO may very well begin capitulation here.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I weight the ICON a bit more heavily than I normally would this suite because I feel like if/when there is cross guidance commitment, it will be essentially unanimous.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not convinced it takes that long.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    ICANT
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Very apt-nailed it. It really helps to maintain a somewhat more grounded approach throughout the periods of modeling chaos.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    @Damage In TollandAlways breaks my balls about this, but my preseason work governs a lot of my medium and longer range thought processes because it's that foundational, seasonal stuff that dictates much of this. I have always been on the RNA train for February and December, as I was +PNA for January. That portion of my work was very high confidence, so I am always going to err on the RNA ride of things as it pertains to any medium range conflict.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    The North Pacific pattern is what is most crucial.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Posted this in the new thread, but meant to post in here.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Still side with the GFS here, but may change my mind after 12z.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Euro Sky net (Left) Matches EPS (Right) pretty well. Def tighter clustering on Skynet and more spread on EPS.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Obviously 06z is closer, but you can also see we're losing the high to the north.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    06z Left, 00z Right
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I count 9....
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, today we should find out of this is real. If it goes well, I'll probably have a threat assessment tomorrow and a First call on Friday.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, yard must be really well shaded. I had 19" depth.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, 3.5" of man-snow last night.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    e29 FTW
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    EPS is leaning west....seems skewed east by a few members.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right, but Euro doesn't warm as much as other guidance, which I disagree with. I don't think blocking will linger as much as it indicates for several reasons I wrote about.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    EURO is coldest.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    We are due to catch a break on some sort of phasing TBH, so I wouldn't be shocked in that regard. Anyway, I feel safe in saying that the monkey if off of my back at 49.5"....at long last, an approach to normal snowfall appears imminent, as forecast last fall.
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