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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Problem is that today not enough people are concerned with thinking critically.... and just want to generate clicks on social media while touching themselves to red colors near the North Pole.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is a reason most +TNH reflection events occur in January/February, and major SSWs that include a zonal wind reversal are exceedingly rare in December. It's not a coincidence at all.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    It was clear as day looking at analogs that this would be a reflection event...should get mild for early January, and then go +TNH with a stout PV by mid month. The real SSW should come after that...probably second week of February.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Okay. Bump away...in fact, I'll probably save you the trouble.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I do some of that if I am no getting the look that I am striving for on the monthlies, but it's not based off of a model run.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thank you so much to the few who actually sit down and read this word-for-word....I know so few do given I don't have a significant following and I put so much time and work into it. Appreciate it.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Vote.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll post a December update either late this week or next weekend.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Gee, that December anomaly map looks familiar...where have I seen it before..maybe a few weeks ago? Oh, yea....
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not that I observed.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, first flakes here this evening.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Excellent post...mic drop-
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Se Canada will be cold...they can cut all they want, it will have to snow at this latitude to advect the warmer air from the inland primary, and a triple point low will pop INVO cape cod as a byproduct of the initial resitance from the CAD.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have a learned a ton from your material.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll bet you $100 I have a plowable event of 3" or greater by the end of the second week of December (14th).
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I said back to approaching climo by Xmas week, and that run reflects that.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I wasn't trying to insinuate that you should take that particular run verbatim, but rather my point was that that the overall pattern matched my composite qualitatively speaking.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, I meant on latter December -NAO. I agree regarding emergence of Pacific trough pattern.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wouldn't hold your breath on that.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am extremely confident se Canada will be cold more often than not and have been since like August. ...like 10/10 confidence.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, agreed.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not basing it on a 15 day model...and yes, I've locked it in as it pertains to the seasonal mean.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    73.5"...probably low 80s IMBY now
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    All -NAO would do is grind these waves. That modeled pattern is perfect.
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