40/70 Benchmark

The Typhoon Tip of homosapiens?

It's been a good winter IMO. Normalish snowfall and well below normal temps. It's left plenty on the table, which is frustrating, but it's been nice overall.

Oh, yes...social media is a cesspool.

You sure they didn't mean anomalywise?

Who doesn't understand that the sun is getting higher? Jesus....

I also feel as though the condescending tone isn't very helpful if the goal is increased acknowledgement and understanding....that turns people right the fu(k off....regardless of how true it is. You're basically telling people I'm right, so if you disagree, you're either an idiot and/or have serious psychological issues...now hear me out- Like...alrighttttty then....

Well, I mean....we are all storm enthusiasts....I know for me, I understand, but it's not like I ignore guidance because I'm mindful of fast flow. Anomalies happen.....so while east coast blizzards may be more of an endangered species these days, they aren't yet extinct. I don't think remaining ever vigilant and hopeful despite an understanding of the faster flow and current tropical forcing tendencies is necessarily indicative of "an aptitude gap".

I think the majority understand it and are just sick of hearing it-

I did have 2018 in my February composite largely due to the strat, so I could see shorted-lived arm interval.

Same....especially in December. I thought December would be full of SWFEs.

It looks like the EURO is all N stream, while the s stream escapes waaaaaay OTS like a lot guidance right now. UK allows the S stream to come and phase with the N stream at the quiescently perfect time for NE. My guess is it ends up mainly N stream and another light to moderate ordeal. It almost seems like the inverse western CONUS ridging this time since the ridge is more in plains. The UK allows the s stream to come up bc it doesn't dig as much since the western ridge erodes faster. The Euro buries it because it has a bit more ridging.

I could see my area over to especially Amesbury breaking 3" up to maybe 4", but I think you have to go into NH for anything greater than 4".

You know me, so hope you didn't get your back up over those buns. I think you are a bit overzealous, but you know your stuff. I probably should have ticked 2-4" down into N Mass and may still update the map.

Winter is saved!

@WinterWolfThoughts? How does this fit the overall tenor of the season? Do we know?

That looks like some of those EURO runs.

I could see having gone 2-4"...but 4-6" is too much IMO.

Maybe Steve will be right and I undersold it....all weenies aside. That is a valid reason I didn't think about...time will tell.

Ride the chart! The frostiest ones you can find!!

It does look like March 2023. I had like 7.5". I get 10-11" on that map.

Messy Tuesday Evening On Tap Light Snowfall likely Tuesday Evening It will likely be a race against time as snowfall encroaches on the area during the Tuesday PM commute, however, the majority of the region should barely escape. The latter portion of the commute could be somewhat problematic across especially the western half of regions over the northern Berkshires and northern half of Worcester county. This is due to a rather modest weather system that will be "diving" east-southeast out Canada and across northern New England. Synoptic Overview This weak Northern stream disturbance known as an "Alberta Clipper" will be entering the Quebec province of Canada from Ontario tomorrow evening. It will begin to intensify somewhat as is it does so overnight on Tuesday. However, although it will be amplifying somewhat on approach, it will be passing to the north of the forecast area. This will not only limit moisture influx, but will also introduce enough warm air to prompt precipitation type issues across the southern quadrant of the region, thus a light snowfall is expected. Expected Storm Progression Snowfall should begin to envelop the route 2 corridor around 6pm tomorrow, especially west of I 495, which will have some slightly impact not the latter portion of the evening commute so plan accordingly. Snowfall will have mixed with and turned to rain near the south coast, cape and islands by the time the storm peaks around midnight tomorrow night. The last of the rain should be clearing out by the AM commute on Wednesday. It would be prudent to still allow for extra time to the north of the Mass pike given the need for some snow removal. First & Final Call:

Agree.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/02/messy-tuesday-evening-on-tap.html First & Final Call:

It's just one of those system that doesn't pass the "smell test" when some of these meso models try to sniff a few lines and border on warning criteria...like when we see a over 12" printed out for run-of-the-mill SWFE....NOT one with an incredibly anomalous airmass like last month.