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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I weight the ICON a bit more heavily than I normally would this suite because I feel like if/when there is cross guidance commitment, it will be essentially unanimous.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not convinced it takes that long.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    ICANT
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Very apt-nailed it. It really helps to maintain a somewhat more grounded approach throughout the periods of modeling chaos.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    @Damage In TollandAlways breaks my balls about this, but my preseason work governs a lot of my medium and longer range thought processes because it's that foundational, seasonal stuff that dictates much of this. I have always been on the RNA train for February and December, as I was +PNA for January. That portion of my work was very high confidence, so I am always going to err on the RNA ride of things as it pertains to any medium range conflict.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    The North Pacific pattern is what is most crucial.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Posted this in the new thread, but meant to post in here.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Still side with the GFS here, but may change my mind after 12z.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Euro Sky net (Left) Matches EPS (Right) pretty well. Def tighter clustering on Skynet and more spread on EPS.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Obviously 06z is closer, but you can also see we're losing the high to the north.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    06z Left, 00z Right
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I count 9....
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, today we should find out of this is real. If it goes well, I'll probably have a threat assessment tomorrow and a First call on Friday.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, yard must be really well shaded. I had 19" depth.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, 3.5" of man-snow last night.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    e29 FTW
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    EPS is leaning west....seems skewed east by a few members.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right, but Euro doesn't warm as much as other guidance, which I disagree with. I don't think blocking will linger as much as it indicates for several reasons I wrote about.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    EURO is coldest.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    We are due to catch a break on some sort of phasing TBH, so I wouldn't be shocked in that regard. Anyway, I feel safe in saying that the monkey if off of my back at 49.5"....at long last, an approach to normal snowfall appears imminent, as forecast last fall.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yup...second half relaxation like January. I do think we get one more shot in early March minus the brutal cold.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree, but willing to keep an open mind. I hedged against in my update last night.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Seems like a situation where if you get the goods, dynamics will suffice...just ask Tip
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Who cares if we get 3-5-2001 a bit south Only you would focus on the 40* days that follow
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, hopefully the 00z suite doesn't end up discarded into the diaper genie.
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