40/70 Benchmark

These first two are not mutually exclusive....there is mesoscale risk with arctic air pinning the CF like that. Issue for a few days from now, but this is a setup conducive to that.

You clearly do not understand e MA climo and while the model had that snowfall distribution.

Yea, slowing and allowing the N Stream to phase more to trigger Miller B redevelpment is a different ballgame.

@Sey-Mour SnowI understand you are a pro, but something is lost on you if you felt the need to shit on that sentiment. It's right.

Yea, this is just a mind field of porks jobs for me....first issue is getting it up here, then second issue is subsidence from the CJ.

That is the hope...said that earlier. If CMC is slower, it will probably deliver.

As someone who is pessimistic on this weekend threat, I'm not worried about the GFS.

Give a Dendrite band circa 12/20.

15-20".

6" in latter January is a climo snowfall.

Look at my post...I said "huge", you said "significant".

I think the floor is "whiff", the ceiling is "a bit butthurt".

Well, 5-7" is "significant", but I'm disappointed with that with 20" in VA.

Exactly, but not huge amounts IMO.

Good luck.

I could even see that within our area...CT crew spiking while it's crap here.

Frankly, I can't wait for it to pass so we can place the focus on the real potential next week.

I could see something like this past weekend....but I think that is pretty much the ceiling. Be careful about people saying they think "it's coming north" because there is going to be some miscommunication. I envision a scenario where someone claims victory over a 5" snowfall, and then weenies are like "bust". If this thing gets up here, it's not going to be 20-30" like down in VA.

IOW, we just don't know?

Change your screen name to Sugarloaf1996

Verification of Sunday Night-Early Monday Snowfall Decent But Flawed Forecast Effort Here are the verified region wide snowfall amounts for the storm that concluded on Monday morning versus the Eastern Mass Weather Final Call map issued on Saturday. There were three primary issues with the forecast map. 1) 4-7" would have been a more appropriate range as opposed to the 3-6" range that was selected. 2) This 4-7" range should have encompassed the entire 2-4" area over Rhode Island and southeastern Massachusetts, out to about the mid cape. This is because the system became slightly more intense and tracked a bit further east than implied, which resulted in greater dynamics and more snowfall over this area. 3) Finally, the Western cut off should have been slightly more abrupt, thus the 1-3" should have extended back near the Connecticut River. FINAL GRADE: B-

Verification of Sunday Night-Early Monday Snowfall Decent But Flawed Forecast Effort Here are the verified region wide snowfall amounts for the storm that concluded on Monday morning versus the Eastern Mass Weather Final Call map issued on Saturday. There were three primary issues with the forecast map. 1) 4-7" would have been a more appropriate range as opposed to the 3-6" range that was selected. 2) This 4-7" range should have encompassed the entire 2-4" area over Rhode Island and southeastern Massachusetts, out to about the mid cape. This is because the system became slightly more intense and tracked a bit further east than implied, which resulted in greater dynamics and more snowfall over this area. 3) Finally, the Western cut off should have been slightly more abrupt, thus the 1-3" should have extended back near the Connecticut River. FINAL GRADE: B-

Imagine if this had happened 40 years ago, before the Hadley Cell swallowed the world....that 30" in VA would be in GA!!!

This wasn't strong.

NYC, LI....maybe south coast. Outside shot up to the pike.