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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Excellent move....now lets get rid of that straggler over Torrington, CT
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, 18z began the ampy trend last night and was validated by 00z.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Normally that track would jackpot around the Berks to Dendrite, but be okay for me.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is a good thing. Get a clue and a grip-
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    N Stream looks weaker on the 06z EURO.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    A better PNA ridge would amp it even more...ideally we want to escape east some, and then capture.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Still going out to sea?
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Each successive ensemble run is more dynamic....pretty remarkable system.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    My biggest take away from EPS and GEFS trends over night is that someone is going to measure 3 feet....whomever remains on the left side of this capture is going to make some history. The signal is just growing glaringly loud on the ensemble means.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea. This rain scenario makes perfect sense and is totally plausible....not saying to toss it. I just hedge against it...for now.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    GEFS is maybe a hair less amped than 00z.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    GFS is just like round 2 of December 1996.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    When it was unphased...and we were right. It just caved and is phased.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    If this solution worked out and this trend is final, then I'd sell those clowns to the lowest bidder. My hope is this escapes a bit more east. I'll give it until tmw.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    NARCAN gives me like 4-5" of slop. I would go with that.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Must be dynamics....I would def go with the depth map in that case.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is a terrible change on the GFS....moved the H5 significantly north. Game over if that is the trend....that will turn it into a NNE deal. See what the 12z suite does.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, if it goes over Boston, then I'm screwed...that clown map is absurd.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    LOL You know damn well if all models were locked on a HECS, you'd be waiting for the other shoe to drop because its day 4. No way guidance has a process as intricate as this capture nailed down at 84-120 hours out. Changes coming....
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I see what Scott is saying...its precarious and it's easy to favor rain right now. If it looks like this tomorrow, then I will back off for first call. But I don't think it will look this dire...I think the capture will tick later and perhaps a less proficient phase. I would rather deal with this, then have the rug swept out to the east.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, there is a reason I don't do first call until 3 days out. No reason this can't follow the theme of the winter and rain on us...I'm just trusting my instincts here.
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