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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, you have. You are wrong.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Man, hats off to the GEM..maybe it will sniff one out like it did in December with the bomb-fail.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    12z (top) looks more menacing to me than 00z (bottom).
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, maybe 06z came back..I didn't look. Just speaking of 00z. 00z was weaker than 12z.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Kev, compare yesterday's 12z to last night's 00z EPS mean...tough to miss.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I haven't, either.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    EPS has been trending weaker, as well.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Canadian had been the boring outlier, too lol
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    That trend from Sey-Mour Snow is to Sey-Less Snow.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Good. Hopefully GEFS and EPS lose it.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Problem with my area is I am often too far inland to get in on low level deformation near the coast, but not far enough inland to entirely avoid marine taint and get deformation areas to the west that the costal plane misses out on. I really need to thread a small needle to jackpot in a large event. My area is also far enough north to get fringed or miss some SNE deals, but seldom far enough north to clean up on NNE deals that SNE misses out on...I'll get "better scraps" than SNE, sure...
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I will say that that one was the most basin wide of the super events...I fell into that trap to a degree, too (not as badly as he apparently did)....and ended up too cool and snowy, though I was right about the blizzard. But, yea...no super event will be a modoki, per se. I think 2009-2010 was about as potent of a modoki as you will ever see, which in conjunction with a myriad of other solar/global/hemispheric factors explains why it was such a unicorn in the mid atlantic.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not as badly as this area the past 5 years.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly this.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I will never get totally skunked like you...but I may get 23" instead of 33" in that 1/20 year big fish.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    For absolute jackpots, yes....but this is failure to sniff climo snowfall dating back over 5 years.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, but its been more extreme over the past several years.....not just se MA....south of pike, confluence, everything...
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    That was a one off...you had been on that run since 2015.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Since then-
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    In hindsight, we are all Harvey Leonard.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Other people when Olympic medals, but congrats to me on qualifying for the fucking Dutch Oven Invitational, I guess.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    But my point is for several years I have gotten boned in every decent season....the awful years, like this year and 2019-2020 are when I have done a little better. I mean, 'cmon.....show me a snowfall anomaly map for the last half decade, and it will illustrate my point perfectly. Goose egg right in ne MA.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    All frustration aside, I think its a prudent course of action to approach major threats at this point of the season with a good dose of skepticism.
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