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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    In a cold blizzard, they are...otherwise, they are not.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    As long as it doesn't occlude, you want the insane deepening. That is what produced the intense banding....you want rate of max intensification as it approaches and bypasses the area. Its not just about track, but catching the system in the right stage of its lifecycle....you don't want the banded, occluded menopausal lows.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Narcan and depth maps are still pretty conservative, so that may keep me from RGW tomorrow
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, probably....some runs have 960s, but that is pretty extreme.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, ensembles have trending more intense...I was looking at it from a LBSW standpoint. Agree.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Time out?
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I didn't see that trend today, thankfully.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks to me like we just lost the way seaward members.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sarcasm is a foreign language, apparently.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    EPS looks a bit more progressive, as it moves it away from the cape a bit faster....that is a trend you usually see in these scenarios.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    The mean looks a hair more tucked to me, but its really noise-like.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly what I have been saying. Kev, just commenting on UK QPF verbatim...not worried about it, but its a big haircut over much of the area relative to other guidance.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    He keeps dropping in here and engaging in NYC centric wishcasting.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Totally hear you...usually phases screw up. This is why I didn't mind the amed crap much...I expected this.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    It was much less precip than other guidance, verbatim.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    As soon as I saw you had posted, I knew you would have a negative interpretation lol
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    No changes to my thought process, but changes to the EURO, as expected.... Very busy day for me tmw unless this unexpectedly shits the bed tonight.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I really wouldn't want to be in an interior valley for this.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    It won't. Its ultimately either going to cluster to the east or west.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    My thoughts are that that the mean is dragged west by: 1) OTS members disappearing 2) Inland members diverging from the OP by phasing faster around the day 4 window, which is near the window when OP should be waited more. I still think this is big snows, but if EPS goes west again, then that probably changes.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nah...doesn't change my thoughts...just suprised.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    He 108 is getting to the spot where prioritize OP over EPS.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its readily apparent on that H5 GIF that the EPS is more phased sooner than the OP.
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