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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. But that track ain't no friend of mine....they can dance, I can melt.
  2. I don't have an issue with dual lows...they are the model recognizing a less than ideal phase, which is common. But that is more likly to nudge things east.
  3. It will come east at the same time those inland EPS member do, is my guess.
  4. GFS will continue to waffle around because its rendered essentially an ensemble member in this intricate phasing scenario.
  5. I get his concerns, but we aren't there yet...this is still a trend he wants.
  6. 06 EPS is now east of Chatham as opposed to over Hyannis on 00z. NAM following 06z EPS is good.
  7. Looking at EPS more closely, 06z trended slightly less instense and se...more progressive, which is expected.
  8. I was speaking more about how 06z EURO would extrapolate relative to 00z.
  9. This is why I have been okay with all of those inland members.....goal is to have perfect alingment at hour 7, not 72. Its like working the clock as game management strategy in football...let the other team take the lead, so you have time on the clock to kick the winning FG.
  10. Its also 3 weeks earlier than 4/1/97, too...so there is a hair more margin for error.
  11. Right..I get that, but my point to Scott is that I don't think the airmass was much colder. Its just that we got all of the breaks that we are hoping for Tuesday.
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