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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    A scantily clothed scooter hunched over on a sidewalk in a remote village, rocking back and forth feeding the monkies while murmuring to himself....."they stole my circle jerk"..."they stole my circle jerk". Concerned natives continue to gather around conversing amongst themselves in native tongue...
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    We will certainly need it...agreed.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, absolutely. Any ENSO state, including neutral, can "trainwreck" a winter...however, super el nino is far more likely than any other to do so. Furthermore, the ceiling for a winter is much higher for a strong vs "super" el nino.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was only in the low 50s last night...must have been the cloud cover down here.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Big difference between strong and super.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nope, they will be Uganda most of the fall, anyway
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    160K by the New Year?
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I hardly had any rain from Ophelia...like .20" from Saturday through Monday....missed out for once.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sounds worse to me....not that I care.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea...no wonder he never replied to my follow up question.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, same....I hadn't researched it until he mentioned it. Like I said, he does like to push buttons, but I wouldn't call him a troll bc he also brings something to the table.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was about to say, I think some positive anomalies will extend into SNE.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Heh...I took it as decent over the west Pac and +AO/NAO..
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not sure I buy his dismissal of vp due to pre Sat era and inadequate sample size of east based events...it stands to reason why the vp pattern differs from other east based events due to the west PAC warmth.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Will make sense in a few weeks.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I haven't seen anyone say that.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is what I meant, yea....either, or. Ironically it could work to our advantage for once. It acted to nullify modest attempts at ENSO in '18 and '19 and may be acting to modify an attempt at an intense event here.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    It seems as though new regimes, including ENSO and the IOD, are encountering a great deal of resistance since the residual forcing from that previous 12 year cool ENSO was so prominent.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, same thing....canonical super el nino pattern is synonymous with +AO/NAO, as is modoki the opposite.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Take a wild, crazy, off of the wall guess considering the barer of the news....lol Indian Ocean climate influences (bom.gov.au) Theoretically speaking, it upwells cooler water west of the dateline, thus it would serve to reinforce that cool west/warm east Pacific couplet that is a staple of high-end el nino events and has been lacking thus far.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    What happened there? Very weak high?
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I think they configure it that way so that the article shows up in all of the most highly searched "buzz" words. I see what you mean. Its a shame they have to disguise a worthwhile piece as an AMWX post from @MJO812in order to attract readers....speaks volumes about our society. lol
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't see anything wrong with the title, either...it says "starting to trend colder"...not "cold".
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, that is what I meant.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I recommend that site....good reads.
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