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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    .08" on the day.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, this is what my research bared out...even with a -PDO.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had zero interest in Lee, so this won't cut it.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    The focus will probably by NYS and NE in December, then the focus will shift southward later in January and into February.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think its like most other tools...there is some utility, but its not the silver bullet of seasonal forecasting that it was originally made out to be.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I only go back to 1950.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think December will suck for you guys, but it won't matter given the pattern that should evolve later.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, I probably would too if I lived down there....even up here its getting tougher to remain objective....last good season for me was 2017-2018.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    +3SD anomaly on the self-induced ice cream headache index.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't get that impression at all....I mean, its not frigid and there are times when the cold will dump west early on, but looks like plenty of ridging over the eastern Pac and AK.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have a sneaking suspicion that no one is changing their mind about anything.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    You will probably like December more than February. I just want a serviceable pattern in December and we have just that, as modeled. Anything early on is gravy.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Certainly the cold dumps west...that's why I mentioned 2018-2019. Its not December 1995, but nor is it Dec 2015.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had 26.7" in Dec 1967....even if you lop several inches off for CC, I would take it and sprint.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, that is my take on the Euro look....there is a big ridge just off of the west coast, so its more like a la nina look....you don't have the PAC firehose eradicating all of the cold from the CONUS like you do in those traditional "game over" el nino months of December. I think the interior especially would do okay.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    December should be the worst month...but I feel like we will catch some breaks. It probably won't be snowless during the entire solar nadir.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    And latitude.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Same tactic Webber was employing last week....it washes out the western Pac warmth and evades the issue of the MEI/RONI that cannot be answered for.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Any residual thinly veiled semblance of optimism for a serviceable winter in the east.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Up and in.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    That December pattern reminds me of the 2018-2019 season...hopefully some better luck this December.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    That looks like a gradient pattern for our area in December....issue will be is the gradient near Concord, NH, like last winter, or more bodily into SNE.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Of course, from my back yard points north is warm in both composites lol
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Worth it to me....getting out of the shower and stepping into a sonar of a bathroom is awful...takes forever to dry off.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not very....gonna focus on the next 5 months first lol
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