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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    It looks like January 2003, which is just fine with me.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    2010-2011...it was a blockbuster.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    You thinking of '13-'14?
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    It will get close in terms of ONI, but I expect the forcing to remain more Modoki like on average.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Probably like .7
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    You are a low key @snowman19clone.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I still think we see a mild stretch mid month...guidance has probably over adjusted to a degree.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    This I can buy, but I am still skeptical of month long -NAO.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wouldn't bail on that yet....we can have big blocks in December and still average a slightly positive NAO in the monthly mean...see last year.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just bring them...teach them our unhealthy way of life.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Even I consider any significant December snowfall as gravy...the larger implication is what it means for the balance of the winter, thereafter.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    You don't need an exotic anomaly like that...in fact, it was so extreme that it was of a detriment to most of NE, as it wrapped milder maratime air in from the NE and also blocked some systems from coming up the coast.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    This map perfectly conveys the snowfall distribution that I had in mind doing my outlook.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm excited....will be firing up the guidance package this coming week.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks to be a GTG you don't want to miss.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    The prospect of 2009 with a more pedestrian DM mean NAO intrigues me a great, great deal.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm with you on December...we will have some shots, which is already a leg up on any recent month of December..but I need to see the whites of a threat's eyes.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Pacific is nothing like last year, though.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    We'll see what happens. I have learned not to be eager to pound my chest and spike footballs...a decade or seasonal forecasts is humbling. I am certainly comfortable with my pre season thoughts, at this point.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    We are going to see another el Nino next year IMO....since 1950, all there cases of el Nino following 3 consecutive cold ENSO events doubled up on warm ENSO .
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    The NAO verified last December...the Pacific negated it.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I agree with you on the daily analysis. ...drives me nuts lol
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    2010 is a great overall analog, but I don't love if for the polar domain due to the very low solar...NAO won't be as extreme, which isn't saying much.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, but I would keep expectations in check for at least the first half of December.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree.
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