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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Imagine rooting for the most snow possible on a weather forum....nuts
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Almost like he doesn't realize that those models "smooth" that gradient out due to insufficient resolution.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its like Bluewave with a suite and tie
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Your area down to scooter would kind of piss me off.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't expect it...just commenting on what I see. It will probably be somewhere with elevation, anyway.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like the GEM is more SE NH, but getting some consensus.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Fingers crossed....man, I long for that lol
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    This can't be right....strong consensus for NE MA bullseye.....I'm frightened.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    You scoured the depth of the NCEP lab to come up with something bucking the N trend lol
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Maybe cause for celebration.....hitting the 40s with a box of poptarts adorned in the Cap'n Crunch jammies
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, this is the opposite of what he implied. lol
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is like the antichrist of my methodology...shifting the JP north into my own BY? Eh....
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exact premise of my winter forecast. This blocking is not characteristic of major east-based El Nino events, which is the difference I kept harping on. Yes, the -PDO is similar to some of them, which is acknowledged. There are years with both, such as 1965-1966, which is a great analog. This was clear to me last summer. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/08/preliminary-analysis-of-extratropical.html https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/08/august-enso-update-potential.html
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Season it pretty much going as planned, so far....disturbed polar domain with -PDO...hopefully it yields some decent results as expected.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd hit it-
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its the obsession over the tendency for blocks to be displaced southward....while its important to remain mindful of it, you need to be careful about dismissing the notion of blocking and assuming that will continue to be the case moving forward.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea...perception....look at all of the people bashing the models on social media last night and today...most from southern PA, MD and NJ/NYC.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, that's arousing...
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Maybe? Kinda? Sorta?
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't anticipate large scale changes from the Wednesday AM map.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I meant aside from Kevin...like Scott and Will, for instance.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Coastal NE looks to do pretty well. Your post is otherwise reasonable, but you seem to go to great lengths to marginalize the fact that many areas are seeing a significant snowstorm. Imperfect scenarios yield snowfall quite often in any given winter...just like reasonably good patterns yield nothing in bad ones, like last season (March).
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    To be fair, I haven't been looking long term much this week with the impending storm. The PNA not responding as hoped/expected is more of a risk than a strong PV, agreed....I guess if that were to happen, then hope you are far enough north to avail of the blocking.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, "hard to get to normal" isn't necessarily ratter.
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