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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. No, I think it should change by around the 20th, but if we are completely shutout into mid month, then that will be cause for concern. Its getting to the point where my antenna is up...I know some people think I am ACATT, but I will change my tune at some point if this were to continue through January. At some point, you just need to look at the scoreboard.
  2. Even 1973 got a couple of inches on the 3rd
  3. Looks like January 1987 got going on January 2 and 1966 on January 8th....2005 on the 5th, 2015 didn't have a significant event until the 20th, but got a couple of inches on the 3rd, so I would agree......def. want to get on the board by mid month
  4. He is implying January is over if we extended the pattern from early January throughout the rest of the month, which is a sentiment that I would probably agree with. But I don't feel that paradigm will persist through the entirety of the season.
  5. I called you a passive aggressive troll. Yes.
  6. Yes and I understand why CC makes it more difficult for the arctic to overcome a poor Pacific, but February is still the best bet in an El Nino season.
  7. Exactly. I have no issue with Snowman, aside from the fact that he seems to be partial about what info he reports
  8. Yes. The polar domain is the only aspect of that analog that I didn't like...otherwise, it was great.
  9. The Pacific jet is one pathway towards a ruined winter....I can appreciate that without expecting it. This is all I am asking of the other school of thought. Some folks here seem to be close minded.
  10. I didn't say to ignore that and automatically default to climo....what I said was to be exhaustive and consider everything. It was implied there was no reason to entertain a change and I gave a reason. Period.
  11. General el Nino climo is not significantly altered due to CC.....sure, hedge warmer on surface temps, but the fact that el Nino is more favorable in February is still valid. That is just idiotic to suggest otherwise....Omega is either a moron or a troll, and judging from the balance of his/her posts, its clearly the latter.
  12. This I agree with...I used this exact image in my blog yesterday.
  13. He keeps blowing that off...I'm sorry, but this is the difference between passive aggressive trolling and good, objective analysis. If you are going to keep it real, then you need to acknowledge everything and be exhaustive.
  14. Nah, that is just keeping it real...its a tall task if we go that late with nothing to show.
  15. Technical SSW in one thing, but I am not concerned in the least about the general strength of the PV over the balance of this season.
  16. I am still killing mosquitos in my home.
  17. Keep in mind when I say I feel great about the rest of the winter, I don't mean 2015...I mean near climo snowfall compressed onto about 60% of a season.
  18. My number one analog....my issue with 1972 was/is the polar domain.
  19. I feel great about the balance of this winter.
  20. My number one stretch is February 2015.....#2 is January 1996 and #3 January 2011.
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