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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Yea, that was a another Pacific cold phase stretch.
  2. I wish Bluewave would make seasonal efforts....that pains me as much as Isotherm going mute.
  3. I would say they have been better, but I feel like some have the impression I was forecasting a 2002-2003, 2009-2010 redux and that isn't true. As far as February being in trouble, it will take more than the weeklies to convince me of that, as they have been crap....but if that were to happen, then that would effectively sink my outlook.
  4. I think my December call was okay....my only regret is not including 2015 as an analog for December, however, I doubled up on it for January.
  5. Yes. Good post and same page. I remain hopeful post 20th.
  6. It still holds true and we are seeing some of that play out with these episodes of Maritime forcing....I articulated it as the atmospheric response not being as strong, but I think @bluewavedescribed it better with the phrase "competng forces". The tropical convection being so far west is what is causing this Maritime forcing that we will see again in January, but by February that should start to work in our favor by allowing the convection to translate closer to the dateline.
  7. Hazey just looping H5 to that sound bite and pounding his chest in his PJs
  8. Late trend like that is how January 2015 began.......the famous "Not Happening, James (RIP)".
  9. Even 1973 had a nice event in late January.
  10. Even 2007 and 1995 had nice stretches in February...I had a foot of snow in early Feb 1995. The only one that sucked through to the end was 1991-1992.
  11. I think that is locked in....not sure how we avoid the Maritime forcing...I don't buy the EURO COD crap.
  12. At least there is cold on the continent, which is a change.
  13. Hopefully I can fire up the first storm blog of the season over the holiday weekend.
  14. I feel like if I am right about this season, one of those will work out for at least a couple of inches for most.
  15. No, I think it should change by around the 20th, but if we are completely shutout into mid month, then that will be cause for concern. Its getting to the point where my antenna is up...I know some people think I am ACATT, but I will change my tune at some point if this were to continue through January. At some point, you just need to look at the scoreboard.
  16. Even 1973 got a couple of inches on the 3rd
  17. Looks like January 1987 got going on January 2 and 1966 on January 8th....2005 on the 5th, 2015 didn't have a significant event until the 20th, but got a couple of inches on the 3rd, so I would agree......def. want to get on the board by mid month
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