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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    You certainly can, but it's an uphill climb.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    You can, actually. Is it desirable or preferable, no.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Won't be the last this year.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its always something....system looked better, but the ridge out west collapsed faster.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    DT
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Angry optimism
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Look at at December 2022...how far did that blizzard just prior to Xmas trend west at like day 5? Crazy shit happens with PV lobe phases and blocks.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Doesn't look good...agreed. But the lead time is a scientific reason to not write a large event off.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nonsense. Absolutely has a higher ceiling than Tuesday. However, I agree that we need to see a big move soon.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    And 18z was better than 12z. Do I think we are getting a huge event, no, but it is what it is.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    The point was the trend, which is what I referenced. Its not misleading in that respect.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, good point. Try to keep an open mind, I guess.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    GEM always too warm, and GFS is prone to being too aggressive with the northern stream.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    GEFS got better...new cluster just outside or the BM.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is what is so frustrating about seasonal efforts...you can nail all of the large scale hemispheric stuff, but just not have any of the synoptic sets ups pan out so your snowfall effort still ends up looking like shit.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yeah, only a precious few posts regarding GW on this forum.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    We may just end up needing to wait for the Pacific, if this whiffs.....exhausting hobby.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I guess ideally, learn each model's strengths and weaknesses within the context of east coast cyclogensis in order to maximize their utility and in so doing, forecast proficiency/accuracy. I know the GFS tends to be overbearing with respect to the N stream...
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is what I am getting at. Same with the UK. I guess if you wanna pin that chart over your bedpost and take it over the GFS, then you do you. I'll pass. But technically, I stand corrected. I did not know that.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I need more than one month of data to trust the GEM over the GFS...I've heard the same crap about the UK, but time and time again its proven erratic.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    What this says to me is that the GEM a better month than the GFS.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Show me the data.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    False.
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