40/70 Benchmark

Storm is back....

I like the ridge out west a bit better this run.

Would be time to find a new hobby.

Oh, I thought he meant ONI peak and monthly temps in the US.

First Call https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2024/01/first-call-for-light-snows-tuesday.html

First Call for Light Snows Tuesday; Larger Potential Looms Next Weekend Manageable Snows Overnight Tuesday Synoptic Overview This weekend's rain storm is becoming stuck underneath the negative NAO block, which will allow it to act as a polar vortex lobe. A modest piece of vorticity (energy) will rotate around the southern periphery of this system and trigger a round of light to potentially moderate snowfall overnight Tuesday. Anticipated Storm Evolution: Light snow or flurries should break out over southern portions of the region during the afternoon into the early evening. And become occasionally moderate overnight Tuesday night across the southeastern half of Southern New England. Before beginning to taper off after midnight and during the predawn hours of early Wednesday morning. And ending prior to the Wednesday AM commute. While it the Wednesday AM commute should be manageable, it would be wise to afford oneself some extra time. FIRST CALL: Looking Ahead to Potential Weekend Storm After the period of snowfall Tuesday night passes, all eyes shift to late next week into the weekend, as the PV lobe splits and a 50/50 low and potential east coast storm.

I would say C- IMBY, so far.

He is a passive aggressive antagonist....his position will usually be whatever he feels as though the majority doesn't want to hear.

Yes...my post was redundant....my bad. Hadn't seen this.

That's like an inverted trough deal...usually not a final solution, but rather a provisional "blink" preluding a larger move.

Agree. I'm just frustrated from a regional perspective....I know MBY has been lucky, though it does suck that its all been wiped so quickly.

I just took a breather.

John, there a few asses (not you Luke, I now it was in jest) in a sea of quality weather enthusiasts. I'm dealing with the same crap..don't let it detract from your enjoyment of the site. Your contributions are appreciated.

The funniest part is that I actually came up with my DM forecast composite in September, before he even released his outlook. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/09/high-confidence-in-evolution-of-enso.html Anyone who reads my stuff knows I cite materials...I have used one of his graphics once or twice and if you go through, they are cited with his Twitter handle recommended as a follow.

Maybe it's just me, but I am so exhausted by the PV talk lol Guidance just all over the place all season. Don't take that the wrong way, Larry....just speaking to how awful guidance has been with that.

Bump.....very predictable oscillation...back and forth between me being an idiot and copying him. Rather ironic dual-accusation there Go figure....we both had strong El Niño/-PDO analogs during a strong El Niño/-PDO...who would have thought!!? Well, he has chance to ponder that for 5 days lol

I guess you don 't really forecast anything, either...since I copied you. 500 words of blather followed by some dulled maps?

I'm glad this fool was finally suspended. This toxic shit has gone on long enough. Care to explain how I nailed the NAO/AO last season and you whiffed on it???

I'd it's not IMBY, then I don't care. I'd rather watch the game.

Well, if it doesn't snow, then why not?

19.5" is about normal for this point in the season IMBY.

Great place for the GFS one week out.

John's ability to assess the most minute details at H5 is second to none....like the split in the SW out west that ruined the Tuesday deal.

I am a fan of John's threads.