40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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And 18z was better than 12z. Do I think we are getting a huge event, no, but it is what it is.
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The point was the trend, which is what I referenced. Its not misleading in that respect.
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Yea, good point. Try to keep an open mind, I guess. -
GEM always too warm, and GFS is prone to being too aggressive with the northern stream.
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GEFS got better...new cluster just outside or the BM.
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This is what is so frustrating about seasonal efforts...you can nail all of the large scale hemispheric stuff, but just not have any of the synoptic sets ups pan out so your snowfall effort still ends up looking like shit.
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Yeah, only a precious few posts regarding GW on this forum.
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We may just end up needing to wait for the Pacific, if this whiffs.....exhausting hobby.
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I guess ideally, learn each model's strengths and weaknesses within the context of east coast cyclogensis in order to maximize their utility and in so doing, forecast proficiency/accuracy. I know the GFS tends to be overbearing with respect to the N stream...
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This is what I am getting at. Same with the UK. I guess if you wanna pin that chart over your bedpost and take it over the GFS, then you do you. I'll pass. But technically, I stand corrected. I did not know that.
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I need more than one month of data to trust the GEM over the GFS...I've heard the same crap about the UK, but time and time again its proven erratic.
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What this says to me is that the GEM a better month than the GFS.
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Odds clearly favor minimal impact, so lets get that out of the way.
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No need to check the run. I see bitching and bickering at one another.
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Its 1-3", 2-4"..been apparent for awhile.
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3/4" here
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Nice squall.
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The best storms are usually banded outside of one 12 hour stretch.
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Fraud Five for a reason....9/10 times it's crap outside of higher terrain.
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South of LI....maybe near Jersey shore.
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Like the GEFS in the sense that most of the trend is late in the game....IE east of the cape, rather than south of SNE.
