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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm pretty sure that was light-hearted, man....
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    At least we have this....pretty good winer composite right there.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    None of those years sucked for snowfall the ensuing winter...at least there is that-
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Interesting 1999 is on that list, as that is one of my top analogs.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I can't stand when people try to chase pots of gold at the end of rainbow as tropical systems execute a parabolic recurve underneath SNE......the notion that it may not miss is the largest fraudulent illusion in all of meteorology in the absence of a mechanism to capture and pull it north. I kind of liken i to weenies holding out hope that a bit more radiational cooling than forecast will buy them more snow as a major low cuts to their west the next day.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Suprise, suprise, the composite rolled forward sucks.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    It really won't be very close and is not at all compelling.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am hopeful for a seasonal December....at this point, give me a seasonal holiday period, and then you can shit down my throat the rest of the way and I'd be content.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I think that was related to the +IOD and El Nino hangover.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Combo of +IOD La Nina coming out of an El Nino with the onset of the +AMO near solar min was a perfect storm.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I think we have one more run at 90+.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    To each their own....
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    What boring few years of weather...if I hadn't had my own private blizzard last January, I would have completely lost it.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Rest of the month looks kind of normalish to me....I agree those long range - anomalies are probably grossly exagerrated.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    It was La Nina that acted like El Nino....inverse of last season. 2010 I will at least entertain the conversation because of the magnitude of the ENSO, however, I won't even acknowledge 1995. Just a complete opposite hemispheric pattern in every respect with the exception of La Niina.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    @ineedsnowA couple of those members are pretty interesting for the benchmark!!
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I def. noticed that because I track/forecast tha tone.....Ernesto I could not give two taints about. I knew Berly wasn't going into MX.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think its more that the field has caught up...especially the GFS.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Manageable, though....doesn't look overwhelming like earlier in the season.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes. We aren't done with summer weather, but changes are noticable now...just like mid Feb....when we usually aren't done with winter weather.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    2010 did not even make the cut for me as a polar analog.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    RONI got a shout out from Noll haha
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think that is it....the moderate composite also appears warmer than the strong because we have 2011-2012 in the modertate group and 2010-2011 in the strong.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    You are well read...that is the only requisite to having an informed opinion.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have not, but I agree with him 100%. I don't read enough independently and have been out of school several years now. Once my kids are older, I will find my way back.
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