40/70 Benchmark

Man, that difference between the GFS and EURO is maddening for some folks up north..wow.

This is actually a huge event up north...but glad I never got roped in.

Was there ever a wagon? I didn't see one-

Yea, never say never, but we have yet to do particularly well in an appreciably strong Modoki La Nina. Hopefully it ends up weak and/or more east-based, which is certaily possible at this lead time. Gun-to-head right now, I would guess 40-50" for my spot....which is still better than the past two seasons.

I'll be in my shed again.

I'll pray for your cabin pack.

Hey, it can't get any worse. Who knows, though...it blows on paper, but we are due to pull a rabbit out of a hat like '96-'97.

Barry!

Sneak preview of winter 2024-2025 gradient.

This is a bad pattern, but 2012 was deinitely worse.

Yes.

I only have access to that for past months...not sure...probably slightly above average.

Well, in that case the departure is zero....but that isn't the case this month...far from it.

This doesn't matter unless you are measuring purely daily max temps. We are speaking of daily temps in general, which encompasses night time lows.

Right. I get what a means, though....2012 was more sensibly appealing.

Well, get used to it because that is largely how CC manifests.

Again, two different issues. I get that.

For the prupose of verification in metoeorology, or any science for that matter, I most certainly will.

I think we will end up colder than 2012`....just saying so far.

https://www.google.com/search?q=unsavory+definition&sca_esv=57c1abd91ece7b5a&sxsrf=ACQVn08H3lRkegMTQj1PaHJN1QZcZ8oSKg%3A1710868781887&source=hp&ei=Lcn5ZdCsM4uKptQP06GSiAI&iflsig=ANes7DEAAAAAZfnXPTP_Nh2EjhcWiJWxzl3NdeZsHnIQ&oq=unsavory&gs_lp=Egdnd3Mtd2l6Igh1bnNhdm9yeSoCCAAyDxAjGIAEGIoFGCcYRhj5ATIIEAAYgAQYsQMyChAAGIAEGBQYhwIyCBAAGIAEGLEDMgUQABiABDIFEAAYgAQyBRAAGIAEMgUQABiABDIFEAAYgAQyBRAuGIAESPYbUABYjApwAHgAkAEAmAFXoAGuBKoBATi4AQHIAQD4AQGYAgigAswEwgIKECMYgAQYigUYJ8ICChAAGIAEGIoFGEPCAgsQABiABBixAxiDAcICERAuGIAEGLEDGIMBGMcBGNEDwgIIEC4YgAQYsQPCAgsQLhiABBixAxiDAcICDRAAGIAEGBQYhwIYsQPCAhAQABiABBgUGIcCGLEDGIMBwgINEAAYgAQYigUYQxixA5gDAJIHATigB-lX&sclient=gws-wiz

Well, deflect whichever way you would like....its been as anomalous as March 2012, regardless of whether you have slept through it.

We are referring to two different concepts. I am speaking numerical departures....you are focusing on sensible appeal.