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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    The only one of those that really blows here is 1998-1999.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    If someone put a gun to my head, which some east coast weenie may after my past couple of Outlooks....our pathway out of this Pacific origin multi winter purgatory in the east is hurricanes. Uber activity in the Atlantic AND west PAC...just bombard the shit out of that stable ocean configuration and attendant subtropical ridge via an immense amount of upwelling and heat transport.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was thinking of that season as a possible exception where we both did well.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, yea....a great winter for you probably sucks on the east coast and vice versa.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    It was like 16" in my area...run of the mill. It was epic for Hartford and NYC.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just a guess....so Raindance, please don't bump this in October and quote me on it......weak to moderate La Nina. Structure...no clue, but early guidance I have seen looked basin-wide ish.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    GEFS and GEPS are huggerish, EPS looks like a late-bloom coastal. I'll probably do a small heads up for it over the weekend if it warrants....then a first call like Tuesday.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not looking too closely yet, but probably a hugger.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, if its rain then it will lock right in.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    GEPS could work for me...dicey for you.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    GEFS insist on developing 2/24 too far north...like over CT.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Probably going to be a scorcher of a summer.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is certainly true....I have always said that. I guess temps are less extreme, but the storms certainly are not...which goes along with increased moisture.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    This decade has been much warmer than the 1970's.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    It moderates our climate in the mean, but there are more extremes. Just about all of the warmest winters have been in the past 15 yeaes, but so haven't most of our worst blizzards.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its already demonstrated enough anti social tendencies that I would just assume see it get out of the s stream's way.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    My best clinical advice is to act on any suicidal ideation.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its just 2/24 for me and then I am over and out...onto the draft. Kev can track the residual table scraps during Morch.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I do not agree with that. It will get taken care of naturtally....not saying immediately. I could def. see next winter sucking...don't get me wrong.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Will have to see exactly when the peak is....we may sneak in one more winter before the solar wind and electromagnetic energy kicks up. We need to see what the ACE is, too....while a huge ACE doesn't guarantee a great winter, its never lead to a horrific one, either.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    This past El Nino was definitely a lot like 1972-1973....we had more blocking, but it didn't matter because all of the cold was on the other side of the globe and in AK.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is my thought on the issue.....nature always finds a way to balance.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Seems like you have arrived at this from 2010 and 1995......there are plenty that suck. 1998-1999 sucked, 1983-1984 was okay..nothing special. 1973-1974 sucked. 2005-2006 was meh...1964-1965 was pretty mediocre and 1954-1955 sucked. The only real good ones were 2010 and 1995.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like it would actually be a Friday into Fridya night deal.
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