40/70 Benchmark

Push back on what?

It's the warm west PAC/-PDO.

You have had good, or at least normal seasons mixed in during this several year stretch. I have not.

Wait for the end of the month into March.

You are about in par with my season now relative to average.

You asked me to give a reason why the pattern would be different in February and that was my response. I also made it clear why this year is more prone to Maritime forcing than other el Nino seasons. You always cherry pick quotes from people. The composite is what it is, but I also had years in there like 1995, 2007 and 1973 for a reason.

Not a suprise to me.

Let's see how it looks next week. Love the period overall, but just can't anymore with the day 12 animations.

29" on the season with average of like 62".

You have friends?

Definitely more than that where I am.

Nice. Congrats. 1.5" Final.

I see nothing interesting.

I don't see it in the cards...this Feb pattern has a cartridge full of nuisance in the chamber and then March blows. I just want baseball to start.

This is the sixth consecutive season for me not even within 10" of normal.

I am so worn out and defeated....so sick of it all. Gonna have to think long and hard about whether I even want to do this next year.

Please. Just. Let. It. End. No. Mas.

Please let this winter end. I am positively done.

This storm can fu ck right off now.

Same page...included exactly this in my write up.

Final Call High Impact-Short Duration Winter Storm on Tuesday Expect High Volume of Cancellations There have been major changes to the forecast since First Call issued on Thursday, which is not unexpected given that long of a lead time. It now appears as though this storm system will have a severe, and multifaceted impact on the region during an interval of time focused on mid day Tuesday. Brief blizzard conditions and near white out possible in the most prolific banding, Synoptic Overview: Previously it had appeared as though the storm system slated for Tuesday would be primarily an issue for the hills of Worcester county and the Berkshires, since the northern stream energy that would supply the cold air and reinvigorate the storm system looked to feed in too late, after the system had passed. However, while the bulk of the northern energy still looks to phase in after the system has moved towards the Canadian Maritimes, it now looks as though the approaching northern stream disturbance will force the approaching southern stream system just far enough to the south to still produce a major snowfall across the area despite a marginally cold airmass. The approach of the northern stream energy will induce redevelopment of the southern stream disturbance along the east coast just as the very warm airmass from this weekend is replaced with more seasonable air. While it will ultimately be cold enough for snowfall even to the coast after perhaps an initial period of rain, the marginal airmass will act to limit accumulations to a degree. Anticipated Storm Evolution: Precipitation should move into all of southern New England by the AM commute on Tuesday, perhaps as a mix or even rain along the south coast, southeastern Mass and cape cod and islands. The precipitation will quickly become heavy as any mixed precipitation or rain transitions to snow with the height of the storm being around midday. The heaviest banding should focus underneath the strongest lift, just to the north of the track of the 700mb low pressure area. With locally up to 18" possible over the higher terrain of this zone, over the south-central Worcester hills, as well as the hills of northeastern and northwestern Connecticut. In addition to the heavy snowfall and near blizzard conditions possible at times, the 1:45pm high tide cycle will be accompanied by coastal flooding on east-facing beaches, as gale forced winds batter the coastline. Then the snow and wind should taper off during the evening commute on Tuesday, which should be essentially non-existent, anyway. FINAL CALL:

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2024/02/final-call-for-high-impact-short.html

Toss globals IMO...pause for MBY, but not most of SNE.

I think it will correct northward a bit.