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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    There were some silimilarities to seasons that did just that, but it didn't work out. Just have to own it and try to learn from it. December and February were awful, but I think January and March will have been decent calls when all is said and done.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looking at some stuff, I think the next 3 seasons will be an uphill climb....try to get near climo snowfall and if you are lucky enough to do so, then take it and run. However, I think the late 2020's will have a pretty epic flip.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I fell for it with respect to February, but never for one moment regarding March.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Gotta know when to fold 'em. Wasting that mid Februay pattern that was about 10 days shorter than advertised was it for me. Remember when there was talk of it lasing though March?
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd gladly take this the rest of the month.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    1.28" event total rainfall...yay, me
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, not trying to speak in absolutes....like I said, if we begin to see a consensus for that type of evolution congeal around mid week, then it will be time to revisit my thoughts on the matter. Just my early hunch that it won't work out for us, for the most part. But totally reasonable interpretation on your part.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I said little to snow over most of SNE....and yes.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like long range charts for the warm February we just had to me.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't agree. I would take a weak event, regardless of orientation ....the reason you have good events that were weaker Modoki, like 2000-2001 and 2008-2009 is because other, extratropical elements take on more importance with respect to the predominate forcing. 1983-1984 was decent, too....even 2016-2017.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nice post and good take.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's where I am at...4 months of trying to be objective didn't get me anywhere. Its gotta look imminent at this point.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    The key to having a shot in Modoki is remaining weak and/or having a very high ACE.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    My list since 1950 is: 1973-1974, 1983-1984, 1988-1989, 1998-1999, 2000-2001, 2008-2009, 2011-2012, 2016-2017 and 2022-2023
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nobody knows for certain, but mainly rain for in SNE for all of March is a safe bet.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's not a Modoki at all.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    On what planet was 2010-2011 a Modoki La Nina?
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't see how it can be much worse anywhere east of the Mississippi and north of about 40* latitude.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's the EURO KEV
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    You are right that its worth watching...weather is humbling, as we saw with respect to that Feb 13th deal.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    And I did a whole write up about how awful the forecast was. I don't see the parallel.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think it's useless to say odds are against it.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, same feeling on this.
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