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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Maybe....but more often than not, if a storm doesn't develop over 80*F SST, it's either because TCHP is insufficient (depth), or the mid levels are unfavorable due to shear/dry air...but this goes back to my theory about CC causing more shear over the Atlantic basin downstream from the Pacific..perhaps that is nature's way of balancing out a reduced need for heat redistribution in a warming planet where the rate of warming near the poles is most rapid, which supports your idea. Interesting.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its just south of me...I still have mostly cover.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I hope we hit the 80s in March.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, here is an inside tip..(whispers)..you aren't getting the 6-8"...
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I really don't care to have 6-8" over 2 weeks...knock yourself out.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think its relative...the 79-80* requirement shouldn't change.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Shame
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    It was basin-wide. no doubt....not that it matters....just for grouping moving forward.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    More useless SSW with all of the cold in Eurasia....yay.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hopefully we have a record tropical season.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Because I check in here until the draft.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is true, but there are plenty of worthwhile endeavors that involve a relatively high rate of failure....and like I said, it's also about the learning experience. I just don't see the need to judge, that's all....we all have our shit and no one forces you to read it. There are plenty of people who would think we are nuts for spending hours upon hours lifting every week, too lol
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I honestly don't unless there is a threat...I will to do a March preview next week, but after that, I won't.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    So there won't be anything better? Maybe I borrowed your crystal ball? Sorta, kinda?
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't see the point in riding around aimlessly on a snowmobile for an entire weekend in North Pube Brook, ME, but like you said...to each their own. Everyone has their own outlets.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not checking models.....draft hasn't started yet, so there really isn't. much to do when I have a break from the kids and work.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    The irony of the dude calling seasonal forecasting "a waste of time" implying that that there isn't a better use of time than tracking storms that will never arrive. To me there is something liberating in the acceptance of weather and withdrawing emotional investment, regardless of how quickly it becomes more pleasant to be outside.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, if there was ever a period to take your chances with that, its during this Pacific regime.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I didn't take it personally, but how is it a waste of effort? Why didn't we just quit medicine back in the 1800's?? We couldn't keep people alive past 55, anyway...why bother upgrading models past the LFM...forecasting weather is hard, so why bother....loser's lament.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm fine with just moving on at this point. If something pops up, great, but I'm done looking at long range charts and chasing.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Defention of a loser's lament.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Over and out-
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is a Modoki La Nina and a 7th consecutive shitty winter here in all likelihood.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not so much the MJO, but more what is biasing it west.
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