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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd gladly take this the rest of the month.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    1.28" event total rainfall...yay, me
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, not trying to speak in absolutes....like I said, if we begin to see a consensus for that type of evolution congeal around mid week, then it will be time to revisit my thoughts on the matter. Just my early hunch that it won't work out for us, for the most part. But totally reasonable interpretation on your part.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I said little to snow over most of SNE....and yes.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like long range charts for the warm February we just had to me.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't agree. I would take a weak event, regardless of orientation ....the reason you have good events that were weaker Modoki, like 2000-2001 and 2008-2009 is because other, extratropical elements take on more importance with respect to the predominate forcing. 1983-1984 was decent, too....even 2016-2017.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nice post and good take.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's where I am at...4 months of trying to be objective didn't get me anywhere. Its gotta look imminent at this point.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    The key to having a shot in Modoki is remaining weak and/or having a very high ACE.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    My list since 1950 is: 1973-1974, 1983-1984, 1988-1989, 1998-1999, 2000-2001, 2008-2009, 2011-2012, 2016-2017 and 2022-2023
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nobody knows for certain, but mainly rain for in SNE for all of March is a safe bet.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's not a Modoki at all.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    On what planet was 2010-2011 a Modoki La Nina?
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't see how it can be much worse anywhere east of the Mississippi and north of about 40* latitude.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's the EURO KEV
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    You are right that its worth watching...weather is humbling, as we saw with respect to that Feb 13th deal.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    And I did a whole write up about how awful the forecast was. I don't see the parallel.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think it's useless to say odds are against it.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, same feeling on this.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    What is your point? This one will trend very far south because that one did?
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not...if it looks good mid week, then I'll have to. I have a better shot than you do, though....I think the 1/7 hit zones is the southern goal post.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    No mas instaliones?
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Why would I ever take up following severe weather threats? We have @weatherwizfor that-
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