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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Even assuming the model is a bit too cold by default due to CC....this is a horrific January?
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    December looks pretty -WPO to me....I think that could even work into the northern mid atl.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    The mean seasonal RNA is not going to be that amplified again and there is nothing anybody can say that will convince me otherwise. Just out of sheer probability alone, nevermind La Nina being significantly weaker....regardless of how intense the PDO remains. Lipstick on a pig, certaintly, but it is what it is and I will take my chances relative to last season.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    My point being that I will take what is posted above over this knowing how useless the NAO has been in the face of an uttelry hostile Pacific.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, this why snowflall has a ton of variance. But for say about the latitude of CNE points north, those charts don't even look that bad to me.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, we have heard about 746 times about this mismatch needed to ever snow again below the latitude of Caribou, ME. I wasn't challenging anything. Simply speaking anecdotally. I will go out on a limb and say its not going to be warmer or have less snow than last season....those images could be worse for NE. That looks like some pretty decent poleward Aleutian ridging.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hey, the consensus clearly missed something this summer and fall, so hopefully it misses siomething with respect to the winter.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Haven't you posted on several occasions something to the effect that +NAO has been coinciding with +PNA and -NAO with RNA??
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    No big sou' easter this weekend?
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    43.2
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    You basically described 1996-1997 winter and no, we don't consider that season epic.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    1973 is a decent analog....2013, not so much.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Interesting and probably coincidentally, 1970 is the only high solar La Nina that was great for snowfall in the NE.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, that goes without saying.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, CC certainly isn't helping, but its mainly just been that the pattern has been awful.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Heh...I've hooked him up the past couple of seasons.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    If you look at most of the hyper ACE seasons, they were near solar min...just like neg NAO .
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Crazy how the season just tanked after the historic Beryl.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll take my chances on precip with a +NAO and inferno over the ATL....hedge warmer and wetter given CC.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    4.04" to close out August 2 days of 90+
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Only 4 amarillos have queefed in Albuquerque this August. Usually the good snow years in Boston have at least 6 queefs on the northeast side of the plateau here between August 15-19 alone. My data has between 3 and 5 queefs as a pretty solid southwest cold signal for January and February with above average precip for wherever I live.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    People have said the same thing about Raindance and I was quick to point out that he has yet to be wrong. 5PPD for a correct bias??
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think it's the NAO it correlates to...more the subtropical ridge.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have asked the mods, but I get ignored....snowman should not be 5 PPD.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    That isn't the point.
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